Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Wednesday
Which players can hit the long ball on April 17th? Jason Radowitz has some ideas and he's sharing his best MLB home run bets. Profit with these MLB player prop bets for Wednesday.
Jason Radowitz - April 17, 2024, 9:41 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Wednesday
Again, thanks to Gunnar Henderson, we've hit a home run in six of our last seven articles.
Henderson came through yesterday with a +390 cashout after hitting a home run for a +400 cashout the night before.
It's been an unbelievable last seven days. Let's carry all of that momentum into today's three home run picks.
April 17 Best MLB Home Run Props
Kerry Carpenter to Hit a Home Run (+560) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Dane Dunning will pitch for the Texas Rangers. He's a right-handed thrower who has struggled against left-handed hitters.
Dunning has allowed a .450 ISO and wOBA of .404 to his first 26 lefties faced. He's also struck out lefties just 19.2% of the time and has allowed 60% of fly balls with only 26.7% of ground balls.
Meanwhile, Kerry Carpenter of the Tigers has smashed a .214 ISO and wOBA of .364 against righties since last season. He's also hit 29% of fly balls and 49.5% of hard contact against righties.
Let's ride this sneaky spot with Kerry Carpenter today. Reminder: This is a 1:10 pm ET start time.
Matt Olson to Hit a Home Run (+310) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
The Astros will send out J.P. France for today's game against the Braves. France is a righty who has been awful against lefties to begin the year.
France has allowed a .205 ISO and wOBA of .458 with just 17.8% of strikeouts to lefties this season.
He'll face plenty of appealing power bats in the Braves lineup. The one that sticks out the most is Matt Olson. Olson has ripped a .347 ISO and wOBA of .447 against his last 570 righties. He's also hit 34.3% of fly balls with 71.9% of hard contact against righties since last season.
In addition, Olson has hit a 17% barrel percentage against righties since last season.
Take a chance with Olson. If you want a bigger longshot in the Braves game, consider Michael Harris, who is now batting in the two-spot with Ozzie Albies' injury.
James Outman to Hit a Home Run (+450) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
You can really back any left-handed power slugger in the Los Angeles lineup today.
Jake Irvin will take the hill for the Nationals. He's a right-handed thrower who has already allowed a .207 ISO and a .360 wOBA to his first 32 lefties faced this season.
This was also a problem for Irvin last year. Last season, Irvin gave up a .222 ISO and wOBA of .372 with only 16.8% of strikeouts against lefties.
That said, James Outman has hit a .232 ISO and wOBA of .360 against righties. He's ultimately got the most value between his stats and his odds compared to the other lefties like Shohei Ohtani, Freddie Freeman, and Max Muncy.
But any of those guys have the potential for a home run tonight. We'll just stick with Outman as the main play here.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Kerry Carpenter to Hit a Home Run (+560) (Bet $100 to collect $660)
- Matt Olson to Hit a Home Run (+310) (Bet $100 to collect $410)
- James Outman to Hit a Home Run (+450) (Bet $100 to collect $550)
MLB ODDS
