Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Sunday
Which players will hit the long ball on April 28th's slate? Jason Radowitz provides his best MLB home run bets for today. Profit with these MLB player prop bets for Sunday.
Jason Radowitz - April 28, 2024, 9:38 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Sunday
It's likely we'll see more fireworks in Mexico City between the Astros and Rockies. However, for example, Yordan Alvarez is sitting at just +126 to hit a home run today.
I won't cheat and grab any of the players in that game. I'm always looking for +300 or better for our home run props!
April 28 Best MLB Home Run Props
Nick Senzel to Hit a Home Run (+750) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
The value is there.
Nick Senzel has slugged a .262 ISO and wOBA of .430 against his last 131 lefties. He's also struck out just 18.3% of the time since last season and has hit nearly 25% of line drives against lefties.
Today, he'll take on Ryan Weathers of the Marlins, who has already allowed a .194 ISO and wOBA of .380 to his first 82 righties. Weathers has also struck out only 17.1% of righties to begin the season.
This is in line with his stats last year. Weathers allowed a .228 ISO and a .400 wOBA to 193 righties.
With Senzel likely batting in the middle of the lineup, he's got a ton of potential at +750.
J.D. Martinez to Hit a Home Run (+320) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
J.D. Martinez will face Lance Lynn of the Cardinals today. Lynn has already allowed a .182 ISO and wOBA of .325 to his first 50 righties. He also allowed a .204 ISO and wOBA of .323 to 415 righties last season.
This year, he's ultimately given up more power to righties. Although J.D. Martinez has only been back for two days, he's already had multiple hits and a double that hit the wall in this series.
He's hit a .298 ISO and wOBA of .376 against his last 347 righties, so let's take a shot on Martinez to hit his first home run with the Mets today.
Richie Palacios to Hit a Home Run (+390) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
The White Sox will roll with Erick Fedde today. Fedde is a right-hander who has done very well against right-handed hitters. However, despite the high strikeouts against lefties, Fedde has still allowed a .250 ISO and wOBA of .315 this year.
He'll be in line to take on Richie Palacios of the Rays. Palacios will likely bat third in today's lineup and has hit a .205 ISO and wOBA of .336 against his last 146 righties.
The Rays outfielder has also hit nearly 30% of fly balls against righties since last season. We like the sound of that!
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Nick Senzel to Hit a Home Run (+750) (Bet $100 to collect $850)
- J.D. Martinez to Hit a Home Run (+320) (Bet $100 to collect $420)
- Richie Palacios to Hit a Home Run (+390) (Bet $100 to collect $490)
MLB ODDS
