New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction: Can Sean Manaea, Mets Get It Done on the Road?
The New York Mets are in St. Louis to start a three-game series with the Cardinals tonight. Can Sean Manaea, Mets get it done on the road? Hollywood Picks shares his Mets vs. Cardinals prediction.
Hollywood Picks - May 6, 2024, 9:36 AM EDT
5 minNew York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction: Can Sean Manaea, Mets Get It Done on the Road?
Today the New York Mets travel to Saint Louis to take on the Cardinals. I am going off of the past 21 days splits with how I came up with my pick. The Cardinals are in a brutal situation and I believe the Mets will take full advantage of the opportunity and down below I'll explain why.
Mets vs. Cardinals DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH
- Date: May 6, 2024
- Start Time: 7:45 p.m. ET
- Where to Watch: SNY, MLB Extra Innings
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
The Cardinals have been horrible against lefties this season, and they somehow even managed to get worse at it, batting at .173, which is tied for worst in the league. They have been absolutely horrible across my three favorite splits.
Sean Manaea is on the bump for the Mets and he is off to a solid start going 1-1 with a 3.07 ERA in six starts. I will say his advanced stats are a bit concerning and look like he will eventually regress. If that were to happen, it would very likely not be against the Cardinals. He is certainly good enough to have his way with this team like essentially every other team he's faced this season.
The Mets are a bit of an anomaly when it comes to their season stats, particularly righties versus lefties splits. On the season, the Mets are hitting .245 against the lefties and .234 against righties. This would imply facing a right-handed pitcher not being favorable but the last three weeks have seen a massive shift that I think is very notable.
In the past three weeks, the Mets are hitting .196 against lefties but have actually increased their hits against righties to .238 making this a more favorable matchup for them. The Mets are a much better offensive team on the road. They are hitting .249 away from Citi Field which is 11th in the league. At Citi they are hitting .213, 26th in the league so clearly being in St. Louis is a plus for them while a minus for the Cardinals.
Kyle Gibson is what he is. A serviceable veteran right-hander who is good enough to come through in a favorable split but not good enough to overcome a bad one like we have here. Gibson's advanced metrics are pretty good however his BABIP is .225. It really has no reason being so low and is way lower than his career averages meanwhile hit batted ball stats remain on par with his previous seasons.
This means he has been having a lot of good fortune and I think a team like the Mets, who are in a very positive situation, can help regress those numbers to the mean.
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals Pick
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