Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday
Which player can hit the long ball on May 10th? Jason Radowitz provides his best MLB home run bets. Profit with these MLB player prop bets for Friday.
Jason Radowitz - May 10, 2024, 9:41 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday
There are always those few pitchers you just love to see on the mound when looking for home run props.
I've identified some great matchups on paper! Let's try and nail a home run prop to begin a streak for the weekend.
May 10 Best MLB Home Run Props
Gavin Sheets to Hit a Home Run (+420) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Have you hit an over with a player on the White Sox this season?
Tonight could be the night.
Gavin Sheets has already smacked a .204 ISO and wOBA of .390 against righties this season. He's a lefty who has also struck out just 13.6% of the time against righties this year.
He'll take on Carlos Carrasco of the Guardians, who has allowed a .231 ISO and wOBA of .432 to lefties in 79 plate appearances. Carrasco has also earned just 17.7% of strikeouts and has given up 29.4% of line drives to lefties.
Meanwhile, Sheets has hit 35.9% of line drives against righties this season. He's also smacked 51.3% of hard contact.
Marcus Semien to Hit a Home Run (+500) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
This season, Marcus Semien has slugged a .220 ISO and a wOBA of .400 against lefties. He's struck out only 15.4% of the time and walked just 3.8%.
He's aggressive at the plate against lefties.
That said, he'll take on Austin Gomber of the Rockies, who is a lefty. He's allowed a .205 ISO and wOBA of .352 to his first 125 righties. He's also struck out just 13.6% of righties this season and has allowed more than 27% of fly balls and 26.3% of line drives to righties.
Semien has hit 40.5% of line drives against lefties and has hit an 11.9% barrel percentage with 45.2% of hard contact. He's also minimized ground balls to 33.3% against lefties this season.
Vinnie Pasquantino to Hit a Home Run (+450) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
The Royals will take on Griffin Canning of the Angels. Canning is a righty who has already allowed a .221 ISO and wOBA of .380 to 100 lefties this year. Beyond that, Canning has struck out only 16% of lefties and has allowed nearly 33% of fly balls while inducing just 37% of ground balls against lefties.
That's where Vinnie Pasquantino comes into play. Pasquantino is a lefty, hitting a .206 ISO and wOBA of .345 with just 9.6% of strikeouts. He's also minimized ground balls against lefties and has hit 32.3% of fly balls with a 62.4% hard contact rate.
Canning has allowed 50.7% of hard contact to lefties and has earned only 8.4% of swinging strikes. Pasquantino has an exciting matchup tonight.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Gavin Sheets to Hit a Home Run (+420) (Bet $100 to collect $520)
- Marcus Semien to Hit a Home Run (+500) (Bet $100 to collect $600)
- Vinnie Pasquantino to Hit a Home Run (+450) (Bet $100 to collect $550)
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MLB ODDS
