Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Sunday
Which players can hit the long ball on today's MLB slate? Jason Radowitz has a few ideas with his MLB home run bets for May 12th. Lock in this expert's best MLB player prop bets for Sunday.
Jason Radowitz - May 12, 2024, 9:36 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Sunday
With 270 batters in starting lineups today, there are so many home run props to choose from.
I'm looking to finish off the weekend strong, so let's get right to it. Here are my top three home run props for today's MLB slate.
May 12 Best MLB Home Run Props
Christopher Morel to Hit a Home Run (+440) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
The Pirates will pitch Bailey Falter, a left-handed pitcher, who has allowed a .207 ISO to his first 148 batters. Falter doesn't induce many ground balls and has only struck out 17.8% of righties to begin the season.
On the other hand, he'll face Christopher Morel of the Cubs, who has smashed a .250 ISO and wOBA of .351 against lefties this season. Morel has also limited strikeouts to 13.3% and has hit 54.5% of hard contact against lefties.
Give Morel a shot. Many of the Cubs' bats look like good options against Falter today. But nobody looks better than Morel.
Edouard Julien to Hit a Home Run (+500) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
The Twins will face Alek Manoah today. Manoah made his season debut last week and was blown up by lefties after allowing a .545 ISO and wOBA of .637 to 13 lefty batters.
Manoah also allowed a .221 ISO and wOBA of .389 to 229 lefties last season, which is likely a trend that will continue for Manoah.
He'll take on Edouard Julien at the top of the order. Julien figures to set the tone. He's hit a .227 ISO and wOBA of .332 against righties this season. The left-handed batter has also hit a team-high 45% of fly balls against righties and a team-high 13.3% barrel percentage against righties.
Let's see if Julien can come through tonight.
Rhys Hoskins to Hit a Home Run (+340) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
The Cardinals will run it back with Miles Mikolas today. Mikolas is a right-handed pitcher, but he's struggled even more against righties than lefties.
Don't get me wrong—he's been bad against both sides of the plate. However, against righties, Mikolas has allowed a .256 ISO and wOBA of .401 with only 18.9% of strikeouts.
He's got a few matchups that could end badly for him. The one that looks worse is his matchup against Rhys Hoskins of the Brewers.
Hoskins has hit a .236 ISO and wOBA of .354 against 126 righties this season. Beyond that, he's hit 39.5% of fly balls, 25.9% of line drives, 48.1% of hard contact, and a team-high 14.8% barrel percentage against righties.
Consider Hoskins to go deep today.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Christopher Morel to Hit a Home Run (+440) (Bet $100 to collect $540)
- Edouard Julien to Hit a Home Run (+500) (Bet $100 to collect $600)
- Rhys Hoskins to Hit a Home Run (+340) (Bet $100 to collect $440)
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MLB ODDS
