MLB Parlay Today: Will Bryce Harper, Elias Diaz, and More Deliver on Monday Night?
Even though there is an eight-game MLB slate scheduled for this Monday, MJCLocks still found value. He's sharing his MLB parlay for today. Will Bryce Harper, Elias Diaz, and more deliver on Monday night?
MJC Locks - June 3, 2024, 2:44 PM EDT
5 minMLB Parlay Today: Will Bryce Harper, Elias Diaz, and More Deliver on Monday Night?
Although there aren't many games on tonight, I absolutely love the MLB slate for hitters on Monday and have put together a three-leg parlay that I really like that I found at FanDuel.
MLB Parlay Today
Bryce is coming off a Sunday Night Baseball game where he went 0 for 5 with 3 Ks. Prior to that he had two straight multi-hit games and I think we can expect him to bounce back tonight in a great matchup. Bryse Wilson is the projected starter for Milwaukee and I think that is a great matchup for Harper. He’s allowed a .308 road batting average to left-handed batters this season and overall ranks in the 24th percentile in expected batting average this season. Harper has been hitting extremely well at home with 1+ hit in 13 of the last 16 games. He also has 2+ hits in four of the last seven games and in eight of the last 15 games at home. I love the bounce back spot for him here.
Elias Diaz has been hitting extremely well at home this season and in my opinion is an extremely underrated hitter. He has a hit in 21 of the last 27 games with 2+ hits in five of his last 12 games (when seeing two or more plate appearances). He has accumulated a .321 home batting average against left-handed pitching this season which is extremely good. His numbers against Andrew Abbott’s top three pitches to right-handed batters are also very good. (see below)
- against 4-Seam Fastball: .323 xBA (Expected Batting Average)
- against Changeup: .380 xBA (Expected Batting Average)
- against Curveball: .391 xBA (Expected Batting Average)
The Rockies rank second in on base percentage and sixth in wRC+ against left-handed pitching over the last 15 days, so I expect them to have some success, especially Elias Diaz.
The last leg of the parlay is Thairo Estrada of the San Francisco Giants. Estrada has been great going for a hit in four straight games, three of those with two hits. He has one of the best matchups today against Diamondbacks right hander, Ryne Nelson. Nelson ranks in the sixth percentile in expected batting average allowed and has allowed a .415 batting average and a .444 at home against right-handed batters on the season. Earlier this season Estrada went 1 for 1 against Nelson and I expect him to see four or five plate appearances here with it being a road game. I like his chances to get us one hit.
MLB Parlay Today +143 (.75 Units) (Bet $100 to collect $243)
- Leg 1: (PHI) Bryce Harper to Record a Hit
- Leg 2: (COL) Elias Diaz to Record a Hit
- Leg 3: (SFG) Thairo Estrada to Record a Hit
MLB ODDS
