Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Wednesday
Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Wednesday
We've got another stacked slate in the MLB today!
After looking through all 15 games, I've found my favorite three home run props for today's matchups. Some games are in the afternoon, so make sure to get your bets in early enough!
June 5 Best MLB Home Run Props
Mark Vientos to Hit a Home Run (+400) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
With Patrick Corbin on the mound, the Mets' offense looks poised for another massive game. Patrick Corbin has allowed a .210 ISO and wOBA of .386 to 299 batters this season. Against righties, he's allowed an ISO of .221 and a wOBA of .382 with only 13% of strikeouts. Meanwhile, Mark Vientos has belted a .400 ISO and wOBA of .569 against lefties over the last month. He's also struck out just 17.2% of the time and has hit a 65% hard contact rate with a barrel percentage of 15%. You can't go wrong with Pete Alonso or J.D. Martinez, either. But Vientos has put up even better numbers than those two over the last month and has the higher odds.
Corey Seager to Hit a Home Run (+310) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
The Texas Rangers haven't done much offensively against righties over the last month. However, Corey Seager has been red-hot against righties during that stretch. He's hit a .636 ISO and wOBA of .584 with only 18.5% of strikeouts against righties over the last 30 days. He's also limited ground balls to 28.2% and has smacked 38.2% of fly balls with 76.5% of hard contact and a barrel percentage of 32.4%. Seager will face Kenta Maeda of the Tigers, who has allowed a .267 ISO and wOBA of .380 to his first 175 batters. He's also given up nearly 30% of fly balls and 27.5% of line drives to begin the year. Beyond that, Maeda has struck out lefties just 18.7% of the time. Let's take our chances with Seager tonight.
Luke Raley to Hit a Home Run (+480) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Although Joey Estes has a high strikeout rate, he's also allowed a .346 ISO and wOBA of .397 to his first 31 lefties faced this season. Estes has allowed 41.2% of fly balls and 41.2% of line drives, with just 11.8% of ground balls against lefties this season. Meanwhile, Luke Raley of the Mariners has slugged a .242 ISO and wOBA of .408 over the last 30 days. He's got a high strikeout rate and could strike out a time or two against Estes. But he's also got plenty of power potential. If he connects, Raley has a chance to put one over the wall. Raley has a 48.8% hard contact rate over the last 30 days and has hit a 14% barre percentage.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Mark Vientos to Hit a Home Run (+400) (Bet $100 to collect $500)
- Corey Seager to Hit a Home Run (+310) (Bet $100 to collect $410)
- Luke Raley to Hit a Home Run (+480) (Bet $100 to collect $580)
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MLB ODDS
Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.