Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Tuesday
Looking for more MLB player prop bets for Tuesday? Jason Radowitz provides his best MLB home run bets for June 11th. Read on to find out which players can go yard tonight.
Jason Radowitz - June 11, 2024, 9:27 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Tuesday
With at least a dozen below-average pitchers on tonight's slate, there are plenty of enticing spots for our home run props.
We're actually fading one of the best pitchers on the slate tonight. But the numbers don't lie!
I've added my favorite three below.
June 11 Best MLB Home Run Props
Seiya Suzuki to Hit a Home Run (+540) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Over the last month, Seiya Suzuki has smashed right-handed pitching, despite being a right-handed batter.
Suzuki has hit a .254 ISO and wOBA of .359 against his last 64 righties. He's also limited ground balls to 19.5% and has hit 46.3% of fly balls with 56.1% of hard contact and a 14.6% barrel percentage.
Meanwhile, he'll take on Zach Eflin of the Rays. He's a righty who has allowed a .214 ISO and wOBA of .359 to 149 righties this season. Eflin has also allowed 56.3% of hard contact to righties and nearly 28% of fly balls.
Let's give Suzuki a chance to shine tonight.
Rafael Devers to Hit a Home Run (+450) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
The stats don't lie.
Zack Wheeler has struggled against lefties throughout the season. This year, Wheeler has allowed a .159 ISO and wOBA of .318 to his first 165 lefties. He's also given up nearly 32% of line drives and 29% of fly balls.
Beyond that, Wheeler has only struck out 22.1% of lefties over the last 30 days and has a walk rate of 11% against lefties this season.
He'll face Rafael Devers, who has knocked a .484 ISO and wOBA of .481 against his last 70 righties. Devers has limited strikeouts to 17.1% and has hit more fly balls than ground balls against righties in the last 30 days.
I'll fade Wheeler with a star like Devers.
Christian Walker to Hit a Home Run (+450) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Lastly, Jose Suarez will pitch for the Angels tonight. He's a lefty who has allowed a .236 ISO and wOBA of .371 to his first 87 righties this season.
Suarez has struck out only 16.1% of righties over the last 30 days and has allowed 50% of hard contact in that time.
He'll face Christian Walker, who has hit a .296 ISO and wOBA of .361 against his last 28 lefties. Walker, a righty, has hit 38.9% of fly balls, 55.6% hard contact, and a team-high 16.7% barrel percentage against lefties over the last 30 days.
Let's ride with Walker to close out the night.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Seiya Suzuki to Hit a Home Run (+540) (Bet $100 to collect $640)
- Rafael Devers to Hit a Home Run (+450) (Bet $100 to collect $550)
- Christian Walker to Hit a Home Run (+450) (Bet $100 to collect $550)
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MLB ODDS
