Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
Looking for more MLB player prop bets for Thursday? Jason Radowitz provides his best MLB home run bets for June 13th. Read on to find out which players can go yard tonight.
Jason Radowitz - June 13, 2024, 9:58 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
It took until the 7th inning but Luke Raley launched a home run off Jonathan Cannon to cash in on a +470 home run prop last night.
Let's keep that momentum going with tonight's three home run props! Tail along if you agree with the analysis!
June 13 Best MLB Home Run Props
Royce Lewis to Hit a Home Run (+400) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Royce Lewis has smacked a .474 ISO and wOBA of .450 against his first 21 righties since returning from the Injured List.
Lewis has also minimized strikeouts to 19% and has hit 46.7% of fly balls against righties with only 40% of ground balls.
Additionally, the right-handed third baseman has also hit 73.3% of hard contact against righties and a 20% barrel percentage over the last 30 days.
He'll face Luis Medina of the Athletics tonight. Medina has only struck out 15.4% of righties in a small sample size. However, he's also allowed a .190 ISO to righties this season. Medina has allowed 33.3% of fly balls to righties and 27.8% of line drives.
Lewis can absolutely stay hot against Medina.
Joc Pederson to Hit a Home Run (+360) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
The Angels will throw Griffin Canning for tonight's game against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Canning has given up a .300 ISO and wOBA of .417 to his last 58 lefties. He's also allowed a .253 ISO and wOBA of .394 to 169 lefties this season.
It's been a brutal year for Canning, especially against lefties.
Tonight, he'll have to face a bunch of powerful lefties in Arizona's lineup. None are more powerful than Joc Pederson, who has a .158 ISO and wOBA of .343 against righties over the last 30 days.
Pederson has limited ground balls to 29.7% and has hit 37.8% of line drives with a team-high 67.6% hard contact rate against righties over the last month.
Let's ride Pederson to hit one out against Canning tonight.
Will Smith to Hit a Home Run (+450) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Over the last thirty days, Will Smith has had better power numbers than everyone in the Los Angeles lineup except Shohei Ohtani when facing right-handed pitching.
Smith has hit a .262 ISO with a wOBA of .378 in that time frame against righties. He's also struck out only 11.3% of the time while hitting 46.3% of fly balls with only 20.4% of ground balls.
Smith has also smacked 55.6% of hard contact and has an above-average barrel percentage of 11.1% against righties in the last 30 days.
Meanwhile, he'll face Michael Lorenzen of the Rangers, who has allowed a .255 ISO and wOBA of .421 to his first 125 righties this season. Lorenzen has struck out only 14.4% of righties and has allowed 53.3% of hard contact to righties this year.
Let's hope Smith can hit one deep tonight.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Royce Lewis to Hit a Home Run (+400) (Bet $100 to collect $500)
- Joc Pederson to Hit a Home Run (+360) (Bet $100 to collect $460)
- Will Smith to Hit a Home Run (+450) (Bet $100 to collect $550)
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MLB ODDS
