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The Phillies and Padres face off for game one of their series on Monday night. Will Bryce Harper go yard tonight? Ben Rajavuori shares his San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction and prop pick.
ANALYSIS

San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction: Will Bryce Harper Go Yard Tonight?

The Phillies and Padres meet for a three-game series from Citizens Bank Park tonight in Philadelphia. The Phillies have the second-best record in baseball right now with a record of 47–24. They have been nearly untouchable at home, going 27–10 in Citizens Bank Park. Tonight, I have a home run pick for a Phillies player that has done very well inside this park

PADRES VS. PHILLIES DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH

  • Date: June 17, 2024
  • Start Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB Extra Innings

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS. PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES PREDICTION

The player I’m picking to hit a home run tonight is Phillies player Bryce Harper. Bryce Harper has hit 11 home runs at home in just 131 at-bats. He is hitting .313 at home compared to .241 on the road. He only has four home runs on the road this year.

Bryce Harper has been red hot this month, hitting .319, but he only has two home runs this month and has not hit one in, seven games. However, six of the last seven games have been on the road, which is why I like him to hit a home run tonight back in his home ballpark where he has been so good this year. Bryce Harper will go up against Padres right-handed pitcher Randy Vazquez tonight. Randy Vazquez has given up eight home runs in just 38.1 innings this season. He has been getting crushed and tonight will be another opportunity for the Phillies to crush him with the weather in Philadelphia. The wind is blowing out heavily to center field, and it will be a hot and humid night in Philly. Due to the conditions, Ballpark Pal has this game listed with a +24% Home Run boost, which is the second highest on the slate tonight.

Bryce Harper has crushed right-handed pitching this season, getting 10 of his 15 home runs against right-handed pitching with a .904 OPS. With the weather conditions and how many home runs Randy Vazquez has given up this season, this seems like a perfect storm for Bryce Harper to hit his first home run in eight games tonight. While the odds are low, this is a bet that should absolutely come through for us. Take Harper to hit a home run in the first game of the series tonight from Citizens Bank Park.

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS. PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES Pick

Pick: Bryce Harper to hit a Home Run +250 CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS

Bryce Harper SYSTEM PROJECTION - VS. SAN DIEGO PADRES JUNE 17

MLB ODDS

Article Author

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Ben Rajavuori is a handicapper out of Minneapolis, MN. He has been creating sports content for almost four years now and is an expert in all things NFL, MLB, NBA, UFC, and NCAAB. Ben thrives on diving deep into statistics to find the best angle on every bet. You can follow him on Twitter @WeBeatTheSpread.

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