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The Braves and Diamondbacks have some late-night MLB action tonight when they face off in Arizona. Krabs is here to explain why you should fade Charlie Morton and the Braves? Read on to find out what his best bet is.
ANALYSIS

Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction: Should You Fade Charlie Morton, Braves?

The Braves have won four games in a row and the public is starting to say that they are back. If the Braves are truly back, then why is Charlie Morton barely a favorite against Slade Cecconi and the below .500 Diamondbacks?

Braves vs. Diamondbacks DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH

  • Date: July 10, 2024
  • Start Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB Extra Innings

Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Just because Arizona lost their last two games doesn’t mean they haven’t been playing solid baseball. The Diamondbacks have played much better of late, and you can tell the team that made a run to the World Series last year is starting to heat up. Although most would be surprised to see the Braves as short favorites on Wednesday night against a struggling right hander, I’m willing to bet this is a closer matchup than we think…

Slade Cecconi hasn’t pitched well for the Diamondbacks this season, but he won’t be the only struggling starting pitcher in this game. Charlie Morton has given up four or more runs in five of his last nine outings. The crafty veteran simply hasn’t been good over the last two months or so, driving his ERA up to nearly a 4.00. Facing an Arizona team hungry to avenge consecutive losses in this series, I wouldn’t want a ticket backing Charlie Morton right now.

Considering Arizona’s starting pitcher’s ERA is even worse than Morton’s, and the fact that Atlanta has ripped off four wins in a row, you’d expect the Braves to be getting more line respect on Wednesday. Arizona looks like one of the nastiest plays on the MLB slate, and with less than 25% of the bets (on VSiN) backing them we’ve seen line movement towards them. This is a great sign for Arizona backers, as sharp action is clearly moving this line closer to a Pick ‘Em.

Fade the Braves, an offensive I still need to see more consistency out of, and back the Diamondbacks who have lost the first two games of this series. I want to buy stock in Arizona before we hit the All Star Break, as this team desperately tries to get back to .500. The way that they are playing right now, I don’t think it will take them as long as they think…

Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick

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Article Author

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Krabs is a contrarian bettor who isn’t afraid to fade the public or go against the grain. His betting style not only produces winners but has changed the way many think about the sports betting process. You’ll find Krabs betting on anything from the NFL (at a 60% clip in 2022) to the KBO (8-1-1 in 2022). You won’t find many handicappers with more college basketball knowledge or insight than Krabs. A native of the “DMV,” you can find his work @Krabs_Bets on Twitter, or on Behind the Lines, his daily sports betting show on twitch.

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