Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
Looking for more MLB player prop bets for Thursday that you can profit on? Jason Radowitz provides his best MLB home run bets for July 11th. Read on find out which players can go yard today.
Jason Radowitz - July 11, 2024, 9:19 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
I'm eying a few home run props on today's MLB slate. Although there are some high-level pitchers on the mound, there are still a few spots I'm confident with.
Check out my three favorite home run props for July 11 below.
July 11 Best MLB Home Run Props
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to Hit a Home Run (+600) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Although Jordan Hicks has added a high rate of strikeouts and has limited walks against righties, he's still allowed power. He's given up a .232 ISO and wOBA of .362 over the last month against righties and has watched those righties hit 27.5% of line drives and 30% of fly balls.
Hicks has even allowed 52.5% of hard contact to righties over the last month.
Meanwhile, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a .232 ISO and wOBA of .365 against right-handed pitching over the last 30 days. He's added 30.4% of line drives with 49.3% of hard contact. He's also contributed a 15.9% barrel percentage over the last month against righties.
Let's take Vladdy to go deep today.
Seiya Suzuki to Hit a Home Run (+520) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Seiya Suzuki will face Albert Suarez of the Orioles. Suarez is a right-handed pitcher who has also struggled against right-handed batters more.
He's allowed a .211 ISO and wOBA of .365 with only 32.7% of ground balls induced. Suarez has also allowed 32.7% of fly balls and has tallied just 16.7% of strikeouts against righties over the last month.
On the other hand, Suzuki has smacked a .229 ISO and wOBA of .320 against righties over the last 30 days. While his strikeout is high, Suarez isn't a major threat to earn those strikeouts.
Suzuki has hit 34.6% of fly balls and has limited ground balls to 30.8% over the last month against righties. He's also hit a team-best 13.5% barrel percentage against righties. We'll test our luck with Suzuki.
Mickey Moniak to Hit a Home Run (+520) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Mickey Moniak slugged one last night. Hopefully, he can hit back-to-back home runs tonight.
Moniak is a left-handed hitter, hitting a .194 ISO against his last 74 righties. He's minimized ground balls to 28.3% and has launched 30.4% of lien drives with 43.5% of hard contact in that time against righties.
On the other hand, he'll take on Luis Castillo of the Mariners. Castillo has been horrendous against lefties over the last 30 days. He's allowed a .286 ISO and wOBA of .455 with only 16.1% of strikeouts against lefties over the previous 30 days.
Moniak is the best lefty power bat the Angels have.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to Hit a Home Run (+600) (Bet $100 to collect $700)
- Seiya Suzuki to Hit a Home Run (+520) (Bet $100 to collect $620)
- Mickey Moniak to Hit a Home Run (+520) (Bet $100 to collect $620)
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MLB ODDS
