Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Sunday
Looking for more MLB player prop bets for Sunday that you can profit on? Jason Radowitz provides his best MLB home run bets for July 21st. Read on find out which players can go yard today.
Jason Radowitz - July 21, 2024, 10:10 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Sunday
With many subpar pitchers on the mound, plenty of intriguing home run props are on the board today!
Here are the three that appeal to me the most.
July 21 Best MLB Home Run Props
Corey Seager to Hit a Home Run (+320) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Corey Seager will face Dean Kremer of the Baltimore Orioles. Kremer is a right-handed pitcher who has allowed a .281 ISO and wOBA of .392 to his last 38 lefties.
Those 38 lefties have hit nearly 43% of fly balls and just 28.6% of ground balls against Kremer.
Additionally, Kremer has allowed a 14.3% barrel percentage to lefties over the last 30 days.
On the other hand, Seager has smashed a .246 ISO and wOBA of .412 agaisnt righties over the last month. He's limited strikeouts to 16.7% over that same time against righties and has launched 30% of line drives and 28% of fly balls with 56% of hard contact and a 14% barrel percentage.
Seager is in a great position to hit one out today.
Brenton Doyle to Hit a Home Run (+440) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Brenton Doyle has been on fire recently. The Colorado right-handed outfielder has hit a .471 ISO and wOBA of .460 against his last 59 righties.
Furthermore, Doyle has slugged 41.5% of fly balls against righties and has also hit a 24.4% barrel percentage.
He'll take on Hayden Birdsong of the Giants. Birdsong has watched his last 33 righties faced hit a .357 ISO and wOBA of .395 with 45.8% of fly balls. Birdsong has also allowed 50% of hard contact and has struck out only 15.2% of righties over the last month.
Let's take Doyle to launch one over the wall in Coors Field.
Rob Refsnyder to Hit a Home Run (+800) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
I can't ignore these odds.
Rob Refsnyder has hit a .429 ISO and woBA of .496 against his last 19 lefties.
Tonight, he'll likely bat lead-off against James Paxton of the Dodgers. Paxton, a lefty, has watched his last 78 righties hit a .246 ISO and wOBA of .439. Paxton has also added just 17.9% of strikeouts against righties over the last 30 days and has allowed 37.7% of fly balls with only 22.6% of ground balls induced.
Refsnyder will be patient and could just add some walks to get on base. But if Paxton falls below in the count and serves one up, Refsnyder should be ready. At +800 odds, I'll take my chances.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Corey Seager to Hit a Home Run (+320) (Bet $100 to collect $420)
- Brenton Doyle to Hit a Home Run (+440) (Bet $100 to collect $540)
- Rob Refsnyder to Hit a Home Run (+800) (Bet $100 to collect $900)
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MLB ODDS
