Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Wednesday
Looking for more MLB player prop bets for Wednesday that you can profit on? Jason Radowitz provides his best MLB home run bets for July 31st. Read on find out which players can go yard today.
Jason Radowitz - July 31, 2024, 9:19 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Wednesday
After we hit Bobby Witt Jr. (+310) on Monday, we nailed Anthony Santander (+390) on yesterday. We're on a two-day streak with home run prop hits.
Let's go for a third consecutive home run prop hit with today's MLB slate.
July 31 Best MLB Home Run Props
Jake Fraley to Hit a Home Run (+680) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Jake Fraley has slugged a .258 ISO and wOBA of .386 against his last 31 right-handed pitchers. The left-hander has struck out at a high rate, but he's normally aggressive at the plate.
Fraley is up there looking to hit. After all, he hasn't walked once in his last 31 plate appearances against righties.
In addition, his strikeout rate is high at 31.7% in that time, but he's facing off against Kyle Hendricks. Hendricks has struck out just 12.2% of lefties over the last month, so he's much more likely to connect against him tonight.
Hendricks has allowed 28.7% of line drives and 32.3% of fly balls, with only 25.8% of ground balls induced against lefties.
Let's give Fraley a chance at +680 odds.
Manny Machado to Hit a Home Run (+450) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
I rarely fade Clayton Kershaw. However, in his first start back, Kershaw allowed a .188 ISO and wOBA of .386 to 18 righties.
He also allowed 36.4% of line drives and 27.3% of fly balls and induced just 18.2% of ground balls against righties in that game. Those certainly aren't appealing numbers.
Meanwhile, he'll pitch against Manny Machado, who is a right-handed batter, with a .300 ISO and wOBA of .364 against his last 12 lefties. Machado has struck out only 16.7% of the time and has hit a 12.5% barrel percentage with 25% of line drives against lefties.
Kershaw will likely make a mistake or two to righties. Machado can capitalize.
Jo Adell to Hit a Home Run (+450) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Jo Adell has smashed a .300 ISO and wOBA of .335 against his last 11 lefties. The right-handed batter has struck out just 18.2% of the time against lefties over the last month and has added 62.5% of fly balls with only 37.5% of ground balls in that time.
Meanwhile, Adell has also hit 62.5% of hard contact and has a team-high 25% barrel percentage against lefties.
He'll take on Kyle Freeland of the Rockies, a left-handed pitcher. Freeland has allowed a .258 ISO and wOBA of .367 to his last 93 righties and has allowed nearly 56% of hard contact and almost 34% of line drive contact.
Look for Adell to show off some power tonight.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Jake Fraley to Hit a Home Run (+680) (Bet $100 to collect $780)
- Manny Machado to Hit a Home Run (+450) (Bet $100 to collect $550)
- Jo Adell to Hit a Home Run (+450) (Bet $100 to collect $550)
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MLB ODDS
