Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
Looking for more MLB player prop bets for Thursday that you can profit on? Jason Radowitz provides his best MLB home run bets for August 1st. Read on find out which players can go yard today.
Jason Radowitz - August 1, 2024, 9:22 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
We finished July with three consecutive home runs. This week, we hit Bobby Witt Jr. (+310) on Monday, Anthony Santander (+390) on Tuesday, and Jake Fraley (+680) last night.
Let's hit the Grand Slam with our fourth home run in a row tonight.
August 1 Best MLB Home Run Props
Bobby Witt Jr. to Hit a Home Run (+370) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
We added a Bobby Witt Jr. home run earlier this week. Let's see if he can provide another one for us tonight.
Witt Jr. has hit a .342 ISO and wOBA of .565 against his last 80 righties. He's also struck out only 11.2% of the time against righties over the last month.
Meanwhile, he'll take on Keider Montero of the Tigers, who is worse against righties, as a right-handed pitcher.
Montero has allowed a .369 ISO and wOBA of .443 to his first 71 righties faced this season. He's also allowed more than 30% of line drives and 28.3% of fly balls to righties while inducing just 24.5% of ground balls.
Additionally, Montero has struck out only 16.9% of righties this season, and that rate has even dropped some over the last month. Take Witt Jr. to launch one.
Jake Burger to Hit a Home Run (+390) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Charlie Morton has struggled more against righties this season than lefties despite being a right-handed batter.
He'll face a really bad Marlins team. However, Jake Burger is the one batter to watch out for. Burger is also a righty, and he's smacked a .241 ISO and wOBA of .386 against his last 66 righties faced.
Morton has allowed a .500 ISO and wOBA of .480 to his last 43 righties faced. Morton has also struck out just 16.3% of righties over the last 30 days and has given up nearly 26% of fly balls to righties.
Let's give Burger a shot.
Ian Happ to Hit a Home Run (+600) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Ian Happ has hit a .229 ISO and wOBA of .324 against his last 81 righties. The switch-hitter has been hot as of late and will now take on Sonny Gray of the Cardinals tonight.
Gray has a high strikeout rate and low walk rate. But he's also allowed a .237 ISO and wOBA of .391 to his last 105 batters. Lefties, specifically, have hit a .245 ISO and wOBA of .409 against Gray over the last 30 days.
In addition, Gray has allowed 35.3% of line drives and 50% of hard contact to lefties. Happ has added 51.9% of hard contact and has added more fly balls than ground balls against righties over the last month.
Take Ian Happ to homer at +600 odds.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Bobby Witt Jr. to Hit a Home Run (+370) (Bet $100 to collect $470)
- Jake Burger to Hit a Home Run (+390) (Bet $100 to collect $490)
- Ian Happ to Hit a Home Run (+600) (Bet $100 to collect $700)
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MLB ODDS
