Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Pick: Don't Miss This oddschecker+ Positive EV Play for Thursday
Our oddschecker+ Positive EV betting pick of the day comes to us from Thursday's Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves game. Both Matt McCuen and our predictive AI model agree that this is one of the most valuable picks on the entire board tonight.
Matt McCuen - August 1, 2024, 12:16 PM EDT
5 minMiami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Pick: Don't Miss This oddschecker+ Positive EV Play for Thursday
The Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves will clash from Truist Park on Thursday night. Tonight kicks off game one of this four-game NL East series. The Marlins have struggled this season after reaching the playoffs in 2023. Miami rolls into this contest with a record of 40-68, good for the second-worst in the National League.
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Date, Time and Where to Watch
- Date: August 1, 2024
- Time: 7:20 pm ET
- Where to Watch: MLB Extra Innings
Click here for the latest Marlins vs. Braves odds
oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool
After cashing the Rockies ML (+125) last night, I match up once again with our oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool. The implied probability of a Braves cover is 49.5% tonight, while our AI probability sits at 57.32%. The expected value that we are getting on this wager is 15.79%, so I'm locking back in for Braves -1 and -1.5 in this matchup with the struggling Marlins tonight.
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Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Pick
The Fish were extremely active at the trade deadline, trading Jazz Chisholm Jr., Bryan De La Cruz, Josh Bell, and Tanner Scott.
At this point in the season, the Marlins have a makeshift roster.
While all these trades have been going on, Miami has played well, winning six of their last 10 games.
Third baseman Jake Burger is the active Marlins leader with 15 home runs and 42 runs batted in.
Left fielder Nick Gordon has added eight home runs while knocking in 32 runs.
Jesus Sanchez has enjoyed a solid season with 12 home runs and 39 RBIs.
Former first-round pick Max Meyer will get the rock tonight. Meyer is 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA.
Atlanta starts this contest with a 58-49 record.
That record places the Braves atop the NL Wildcard.
The Braves trail the Philadelphia Phillies in first place by 6.5 games in the NL East.
The series is key for Atlanta, who continues to cut into the Phillies division lead.
Injuries have slowed the Braves down as they have lost ace Spencer Strider and their best player, Ronald Acuna Jr., for the season.
Atlanta won their final two games vs. the Milwaukee Brewers and will attempt to stretch their win streak to three games tonight.
Marcell Ozuna has enjoyed a career year, launching 31 home runs while driving in 84 runs. Additionally, Ozuna leads the team with 120 hits.
First baseman Matt Olson launched a pair of home runs in the win yesterday. Olson has hit 17 home runs while adding 50 RBIs.
Ozzie Albies has added 93 hits, ranking second on the Braves.
Veteran Charlie Morton will get the start tonight. The 40-year-old is 5-6 with a 4.16 ERA.
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Pick
This Marlins lineup is batting .140 vs. Morton in 40 combined at-bats.
Morton has pitched much better at home this season with a 3.32 ERA compared to an era of 5.14 on the road.
This is a key series for Atlanta, which will come out and dominate in game one.
Let's stay hot and cash tonight!
Pick: Atlanta Braves -1 (-134) Click here to see which sportsbooks have the best odds for this pick Pick: Atlanta Braves -1.5 (+105) Click here to see which sportsbooks have the best odds for this pick
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