Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Wednesday
Looking for more MLB player prop bets for Wednesday that you can profit on? Jason Radowitz provides his best MLB home run bets for August 28th. Read on find out which players can go yard today.
Jason Radowitz - August 28, 2024, 9:22 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Wednesday
Pete Alonso (+450) came through for us last night! Let's go back-to-back with three more home run props for tonight's MLB slate.
August 28 Best MLB Home Run Props
William Contreras to Hit a Home Run (+560) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Over the last month, William Contreras has slugged a .200 ISO and wOBA of .334. These aren't the most eye-popping stats. However, he's facing Kyle Harrison of the Giants, who has allowed a .302 ISO and wOBA of .406 to his last 70 righties.
Harrison has struck out only 20% of righties in the last month and has allowed 30% of fly balls from righties over the last 30 days.
On the other hand, Contreras has smashed 33.3% of line drives against lefties and has hit 91.7% of hard contact in 22 plate appearances. He's also added an 8.3% barrel percentage.
Contreras certainly has an edge tonight.
Michael Toglia to Hit a Home Run (+400) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
We tried Michael Toglia last night, but he didn't come through. Let's try him again tonight. Toglia has added a .245 ISO and wOBA of .365 against his last 65 righties. He's also hit 45.2% of fly balls with only 19.4% of ground balls against righties in the last month.
Beyond that, the switch-hitter has added 32.3% of line drives with 54.8% of hard contact and a 19.4% barrel percentage. He absolutely destroys righties.
He'll have a couple of battles against Max Meyer of the Marlins. Meyer is a right-hander who has given up a .429 ISO and wOBA of 504 to his last 55 lefties. He's also struck them out just 12.7% of the time.
It won't help that he's pitching in Coors Field. Let's grab Toglia for the second time this week.
Pete Alonso to Hit a Home Run (+420) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
The trick to home run props is finding guys who have been red-hot recently. Pete Alonso came through for us last night.
I wouldn't be shocked if he comes through again tonight.
Alonso has smashed a .625 ISO and wOBA of .567 against his last 21 lefties. He's also hit 40% of fly balls with 70% of hard contact using a 30% barrel percentage.
He'll have at least a couple at-bats against Eduardo Rodriguez. Rodriguez is a lefty thrower who has allowed a .255 ISO and wOBA of .389 to his last 55 righties. In addition, Rodriguez has given up 34.1% of line drives to righties in the last 30 days and has allowed over 27% of fly balls.
Alonso is starting to come around. Let's take advantage.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- William Contreras to Hit a Home Run (+560) (Bet $100 to collect $660)
- Michael Toglia to Hit a Home Run (+400) (Bet $100 to collect $500)
- Pete Alonso to Hit a Home Run (+420) (Bet $100 to collect $520)
MLB ODDS
