St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick: Wednesday's Top Positive EV Play from oddschecker+
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick: Wednesday's Top Positive EV Play from oddschecker+
Once again I've used the oddschecker+ Positive Value Tool to find this play, as I do every single day. Not only does it help me find winners in a fraction of the time, but it also makes sure I get the best value on the board.
Based on the odds, the implied probability of a Brewers win is 47.62%. However, our AI probability sits at 67%, which is an insane EV of 40.7%.
Milwaukee has hit Sonny Gray well, batting .292 against him in 65 at-bats.
Meanwhile, Milwaukee's Colin Rea has dominated the Cardinals with a .205 batting average against over 39 at-bats.
In the third game of the series, I'm taking this insane value I found using OC+ and backing the Brewers to win outright.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Date, Time and Where to Watch
- Date: September 4, 2024
- Time: 7:40 pm ET
- Where to Watch: MLB.TV
Click here to get the latest Brewers vs. Cardinals odds
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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
Milwaukee had dominated the division this season with a ten-game lead over the Chicago Cubs. It would take an all-time collapse for the Brewers not to claim another NL Central championship.
Manager Pat Murphy has done an outstanding job in year one at the helm of the Brewers. Milwaukee is competing with the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Philadelphia Phillies for first place in the National League.
The Brewers' +136 run differential is the best in the MLB.
20-year-old Jackson Chourio has enjoyed an outstanding season, leading the team, batting .280. Willy Adames leads the squad with 29 home runs and 100 runs batted in. William Contreas has added 20 long balls and 80 RBIs.
Right-handed pitcher Colin Rea gets the call tonight. Rea is 12-4 with a 3.70 ERA.
St Louis begins this contest with a record of 70-69. The Red Birds would need a lot of things to go right to make the postseason. The Cardinals trail the final wildcard spot in the NL by 5.5 games.
St Louis has a record of 6-4 over its last ten games. The Cardinals trail the regular season series 8-4 against the Brewers.
Shortstop Masyn Winn leads the team, batting .279 on the year.
Veteran Paul Goldschmidt has been swinging a hot stick lately. Goldschmidt leads the team with 21 home runs. Alec Burleson leads the Cardinals with 73 runs batted in.
Sonny Gray will get the nod today. Gray is 12-9 with a 3.96 ERA.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers ML +110 (Click here for the best Cardinals vs. Brewers odds)
MLB ODDS
Article Author
Matt McCuen is a native of Delco, PA. He has been working in the sports gambling industry and creating content for the last few years. He is an expert in numerous different sports, including the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, and collegiate sports. You can follow Matt on Twitter at @DeadPresPicks.