3 Best Home Run Prop Bets, Picks, and MLB HR Odds For Saturday, May 10
Saturday features a packed MLB slate across the country with a mix of exciting games. Jason Radowitz gathers his 3 Best Home Run Prop Bets for Saturday, May 10th, featuring Kyle Schwarber and more.
Jason Radowitz - May 10, 2025, 11:40 AM EDT
4 min3 Best Home Run Prop Bets, Picks, and MLB HR Odds For Saturday, May 10
On Thursday, we nailed Trevor Larnach to hit a homer at +560 odds. Let's carry that momentum over to tonight.
We've got a full slate of games and some great hitting weather in many spots throughout the day. So, let's take advantage!
Here are my three favorite home run props for today's MLB slate for May 10.
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3 Best Home Run Prop Bets: Saturday, May 10
Lars Nootbar to Hit a Home Run (+480) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Lars Nootbar has crushed a .212 ISO and wOBA of .361 against his last 81 righties. He's also struck out 13.6% of the time, hitting 56.4% of hard contact and 27.3% of fly balls.
He'll go up against Washington's Trevor Williams today. Williams is a right-hander who has been awful against lefties to start the year. Williams has struck out just 16% of lefties this season, while allowing a .241 ISO and wOBA of .455.
He's also given up 45.1% of hard contact and has earned only 7.6% of swinging strikes against lefties. Plus, he's allowed 31% of fly balls to lefties this season.
Nootbar has a very intriguing matchup tonight. Let's ride with him.
Jonathan Aranda to Hit a Home Run (+390) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Jonathan Aranda has been one of the best surprises this season. The left-handed first baseman has hit a .242 ISO and wOBA of .427 against his last 72 righties. He's also smacked 68.1% of hard contact with a 14.9% barrel percentage against righties this season.
Meanwhile, he'll take on Tobias Myers of the Brewers tonight. Myers has allowed a .571 ISO and wOBA of .651 against his first 14 lefties. Those 14 lefties have added 83.3% of hard contact and 33.3% of fly balls. He's also added just 3.6% of swinging strikes against lefties this year.
While Myers doesn't have a strong sample size this season, he still allowed a high hard contact percentage and earned below 9% of swinging strikes against lefties last year. Aranda has plenty of potential today.
Kyle Schwarber to Hit a Home Run (+330) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Kyle Schwarber is no longer batting lead-off for the Phillies. Yet, he's still smashing homers. Schwarber has a .230 ISO and wOBA of .410 against his last 76 righties. He's also struck out only 13.2% of the time and has hit 29.4% of fly balls with 66.7% of hard contact.
He's in line to face Tanner Bibee of the Cleveland Guardians. Bibee has already allowed a .302 ISO and wOBA of .350 to his first 71 lefties. He's also allowed 27.5% of fly balls and has struck out only 18.3% of lefties this season.
While his strikeouts were higher against lefties last season, Bibee still allowed a .197 ISO and wOBA of .348 to 435 lefties. He was never great against lefties last season and has been even worse against lefties this year.
Schwarber is one of the best power-hitting lefties in the game. Let's give him a chance.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Lars Nootbar to Hit a Home Run (+480)
- Jonathan Aranda to Hit a Home Run (+390)
- Kyle Schwarber to Hit a Home Run (+330)
MLB ODDS
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