Best MLB Props: Targeting Merrill Kelly and Will Warren on Friday, June 27th
Merrill Kelly has gone over his strikeout prop in nine straight starts. Will Warren has 50 strikeouts over his last 71.1 innings and gets an A's team striking out the third-most against right-handers over the last month. The strikeout props for both pitchers are the target for Friday.
Adam Ronis - June 27, 2025, 2:00 PM EDT
3 Minute ReadBest MLB Props: Targeting Merrill Kelly and Will Warren on Friday, June 27th
Merrill Kelly has hit a prop in nine straight games. While he gets a Marlins team that hasn’t been striking out often recently, the matchups haven’t mattered during the streak. Will Warren has emerged as one of the top strikeout pitchers for the Yankees over the last two months and will face an A’s team prone to strikeouts. Here’s the way to cash in on their player props.
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Best MLB Bets Today: Friday, June 27th
Merrill Kelly Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+110) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Merrill Kelly is 7-3 with a 3.39 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 25% strikeout rate and 6.7% walk rate to be one of the most reliable pitchers for the Diamondbacks. He has at least six strikeouts in nine consecutive starts. He last pitched on Saturday and has an extra day of rest.
Kelly has pitched at least six innings in seven of his last nine starts. He is in the 70th percentile of strikeout rate and the 78th percentile of chase rate. The Marlins offense has been good lately and ranks middle of the pack in strikeouts at 21.3%.
During Kelly’s streak of at least six strikeouts, he was able to get seven strikeouts against the Padres, which rank third-fewest in strikeouts against righties and had six against the Cardinals, who have the fourth fewest. Regardless of the matchup, Kelly has found a way to get strikeouts.
Will Warren Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-125) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Warren has become one of the top strikeout pitchers with a 29.4% strikeout rate. He has 70 strikeouts over his last 51.1 innings. He has at least seven strikeouts in six of his last 10 starts and finished with six twice in that span. Warren is in the 88th percentile of strikeout rate and 67th percentile of whiff rate.
Anytime the A’s are facing a pitcher that can get strikeouts, it’s worth considering the over on strikeouts. Warren faced the A’s on May 9th in Sacramento in a ballpark favorable for hitters. The Yankees right-hander went 7.1 innings and struck out seven. Warren has dominated right-handers with a 36.4% strikeout rate. The A’s will likely have six righties with the only lefties being Lawrence Butler, Nick Kurtz and Tyler Soderstrom.
The A’s have a 25.3% strikeout rate against right-handers over the last month, which is the third-worst mark in baseball. Four of the last five right-handers have gone over their strikeout line against the A’s, including 10 strikeouts each from Luis Ortiz and Tanner Bibee.
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