Portland Trail Blazers vs. Detroit Pistons Prop Pick: Can Jalen Duren Dominate the Paint Against Blazers?
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Detroit Pistons Prop Pick: Can Jalen Duren Dominate the Paint Against Blazers?
Jalen Duren has a great matchup tonight versus a Portland Trailblazer team that runs to back to the basket centers. I believe he will have many potential rebounding opportunities tonight and we are buying him low at 10.5 rebounds. Duren has been an absolute monster on the glass this season and is also averaging over 30 minutes a game, so I believe this is a prime spot for him tonight to cash this prop for us.
Trail Blazers vs. Pistons Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: November 1, 2023
- Game Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where to Watch: Bally Sports Detroit
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Detroit Pistons Prediction
Jalen Duren comes into this game on the back of an off game, recording just seven rebounds and playing only 23 minutes, both season lows this year. Prior to this game though, he had played 32+ minutes in all previous games, hauling in an incredible 14, 17, and 15 rebounds. This season, Duren has averaged 21 potential rebounds per game, which is currently the 5th highest in the league.
He now gets a great matchup against Portland, who are currently allowing the 5th most rebounds to opposing centers. They run a center combo of Deandre Ayton and Robert Williams, both back to the basket type of centers, who won't draw Duren out of the paint unless it's a pick and roll situation. Given Duren's average rebound distance is 4.9, this fits perfectly into his playing style.
These are the recent centers that went against Portland, and they have had success:
- Ivica Zubac (12 rebounds in 25 minutes)
- Wendell Carter Jr. (9 rebounds in 26 minutes)
- Joel Embiid (15 rebounds in 29 minutes)
- Jakob Poeltl (10 rebounds in 28 minutes)
The spread is also at 3.5 and the total is only 214.5. I'm thinking this game is going to be relatively scrappy, with plenty of rebound opportunities on both sides of the court. I like buying him here at 10.5 after his rebound prop got up to 12.5 versus the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Detroit Pistons Pick
Pick: Jalen Duren o10.5 Rebounds (-110)Â Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds