Milwaukee Bucks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction: Can Donovan Mitchell Shine Tonight?
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction: Can Donovan Mitchell Shine Tonight?
The Cavaliers will be without Evan Mobley and Darius Garland in this one which should leave a lot of plays for one guy, Donovan Mitchell. Mitchell absolutely dominates whenever Garland doesn't play, and I love this spot for him tonight.
Bucks vs. Cavaliers Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date:Â December 29, 2023
- Game Time: 7:30 pm ET
- Where to Watch: NBA TV
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction
Donovan Mitchell has only gone over this line in eight out of 22 games this season and is averaging 33.2 PA. But, without both Darius Garland and Evan Mobley, we will see a lot more usage and production from Donavon Mitchell.
In the two games Mitchell has played without both Garland and Mobley, Mitchell had 43 PA on 27 field goal attempts and 35 PA on 21 field goal attempts. He's had almost 20 field goal attempts in every game since Mobley has been out even in games with Darius Garland playing, so we won't need to worry about his volume and output.
The Bucks have also been horrible at guarding guards this season. In December, almost 50% of Mitchell's field goal attempts have been pull-ups. As we know, because of the drop coverage that Lopez plays in the pick and roll, it leaves mid range pull-ups wide open. The Bucks are allowing the most pull-up field goal attempts whilst doing so on the third best efficiency.
Mitchell is using the pick and roll the 11th most in the league with 9.5 possessions a game. I'd assume this would increase seeing how Garland is out and he averages 9.8 possessions a game. The Bucks are awful at guarding the pick and roll ball handler allowing the most possessions, fourth highest points per possession, highest points, most field goal attempts and doing so on the eighth highest efficiency.
I've also added assists here as he's averaging 9.5 assists on 17 potential assists. Also, the amount that Mitchell enters the pick and roll means many options with Allen. The Bucks are bad at guarding the pick and roll too. They are allowing the eighth most possessions on the fifth most field goal attempts. I believe this is a great spot for Mitchell tonight and he'll cash this prop.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction
Donovan Mitchell o36.5 PA (-125) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds