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The Oklahoma City Thunder will head to New Orleans for a showdown with the Pelicans on Tuesday night. Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander have trouble against the Pelicans defense? Hollywood Picks provides his top prop pick in Thunder vs. Pelicans.
ANALYSIS

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. New Orleans Pelicans Prop Pick: Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Struggle At Pelicans?

Today, the Oklahoma City Thunder travel to New Orleans to take on the Pelicans. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been a scoring machine this season, but I feel like his points line is a little too high for this matchup. Down below, I will explain why I believe Shai will be going under tonight.

THUNDER VS. PELICANS DATE, START TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH

  • Date: March 26, 2024
  • Start Time: 8:00 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: NBA League Pass

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS. NEW ORLEANS PELICANS PREDICTION

Although Shai just scraped over this line against the New Orleans Pelicans earlier this season, I'm not sure if Shai will be able to pull it off again tonight given recent form. Shai has gone under this line in his past three away games straight by at least 7.5 points.

Additionally, the other two away games in his last five where he went over were against the Phoenix Suns and Portland Trailblazers earlier this month, who have given up the 3rd and 2nd most points to point guards in their last 10 games respectively.

Meanwhile, the Pelicans give up the 8th and 6th least points to point guards in their last five and three games. Only one starting point guard has gone over their line against the Pelicans in their last five games. The lineups are consistent, save the absence of Brandon Ingram, who wasn't a pillar of defensive ability to begin with, so Shai shouldn't be looking any extra minutes, barring overtime.

It's always a gamble betting unders against elite scorers since they can end up dropping 40+ on any given night, but this is a gamble I'm willing to take. Shai is going to break this streak at some point soon, but I don't think it's going to be tonight.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. New Orleans Pelicans Prop Pick

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 30.5 Points (-122) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

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Article Author

MLBNFL

Hollywood Picks is known for his player prop parlays and specializes in NBA, NFL, and MLB. His passion for sports and data has helped him excel in the sports betting community as he brings his daily best bets to OddsChecker.

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