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Discover +EV betting powered by AI with oddschecker. Our NEW AI +EV picks newsletter is powered by predictive AI and reveals bets with the biggest Expected Value (EV) outcomes. EV is a measure of what a bettor can expect to win or lose on each bet, placed on the same odds time and time again.
ANALYSIS

Sports Betting Picks Today: Tuesday’s Best +EV Betting Picks

Welcome back to the best positive EV picks for Tuesday, May 28th. Each day, we will be providing the best value bets from our AI powered model to determine where the most profit lies on player props from NBA, NHL, MLB, WNBA, and others.

The Expected Value shows what our predictive tech assumes the odds should be versus what the bookies are offering, highlighting the best available selections. +EV means profit, -EV means loss over time. Higher EV = better bet value.

Tuesday’s Best +EV Betting Picks and Predictions

1. Angel Reese Under 11.5 Points (-106) Click here to see which Sportsbook has the best odds

  • AI Projection: 10.1
  • Cover: 62%
  • Storm Allow 2nd lowest FG's per game (29.2)
  • +EV: 21%

The Chicago Sky will take on the Seattle Storm in the last game of the WNBA slate on Tuesday night. Angel Reese has gotten off to a solid start in her WNBA career after getting selected seventh overall in this year's draft. She has capitalized on her opportunities thus far, but hasn't done anything truly impressive for this mediocre Sky team. Her points line has sat around 10 or 11 points, and to her credit, she has gone just over in most of the regular season games so far. However, she hasn't blown past the line, maxing out at 13 points every time. That is one bucket away from not covering, and we are going to expect that she doesn't get that final score tonight. Going against the Seattle Storm, she'll have to deal with a lineup that's finally clicking after coming back from injuries. Nneka Ogwumike is back and dominating, and Ezi Magbegor teams up with her to cover the paint. Reese will struggle against this unit that allows just 29.2 field goals made per game, the second lowest in the WNBA, further supporting this pick. Our AI data projects Reese to land at just 10.1 points, a solid drop off from her listed line of 11.5. This line has a 62% cover prediction, leading to a 21% +EV spot.

2. Jesus Luzardo Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-125) Click here to see which Sportsbook has the best odds

  • AI Projection: 5.7
  • Cover: 70%
  • Hit Rate: 10/15
  • +EV: 26%

The Miami Marlins will stay out west for another matchup with the San Diego Padres on Tuesday night. They already dropped the first one, but will look to one of the stronger arms in Jesus Luzardo to carry the load in this one. We are getting a reduced line down to 4.5 for Luzardo today as he goes against a Padres lineup that strikes out at the fourth-lowest rate in the MLB. However, we are going to focus on Luzardo getting the edge today. He has an incredible 31% K rate against this current Padres lineup, much greater than the MLB average of 22% last season. Our AI projections have Luzardo at 5.7 strikeouts, and he should continue his strong 2024 campaign regardless of his team's poor standing. His projection holds a 70% cover, and a +EV of 26% as he goes against a Padres' roster that he's found prior success with.

3. P.J. Washington Over 19.5 Pts + Reb (-110) Click here to see which Sportsbook has the best odds

  • AI Projection: 21.4
  • Cover: 62%
  • Hit Rate: 6/8
  • +EV: 18%

The Dallas Mavericks will look to complete the sweep of the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday night after several late game wins in this series. P.J. Washington has been an strong addition to the Dallas Mavericks after joining in the middle of the season from the Hornets. He has been a great compliment to Luka and Kyrie, and still finds a way to get his stats even when the stars go off. He went over this line at 20 PR last game despite recent lineup changes to the Mavs. This pick is bolstered by the fact that center Dereck Lively went out last game with a neck sprain, and will not play tonight in Game 4. That adds more chances for Washington to grab boards and buckets, and our AI projection has Washington at 21.4 total PR tonight, well over his listed 19.5. That's good for a 62% expected cover and a +EV of 27%. He's gone over in six of his last eight games, and will look to stay hot on offense in Game 4.

4. Sergei Bobrovsky Under 23.5 Saves (-117) Click here to see which Sportsbook has the best odds

  • AI Projection: 21.8
  • Cover: 67%
  • Hit Rate: 8/15
  • +EV: 25%

The Florida Panthers will host the New York Rangers on Tuesday night for Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals, and we are going to target Panthers goalie Sergei Bobrovsky. While this bet is listed as an under for saves, it is not a fade of the goalie as many other prop bet unders tend to be. This is more of a fade on the New York Rangers, who despite taking a 2-1 series lead, have failed to put extensive offensive pressure on the Panthers for the most part. Bobrovsky let in a few goals that he probably shouldn't have, but even in a 5-4 overtime Game 3, he still went well under his saves. The Rangers aren't getting a ton of pucks on net, and they are scoring in their few chances. Tonight, the Panthers will look to possess the puck in the attacking zone and keep it far away from Bobrovsky. He simply won't see a ton of shots from a weaker offense, and his talented stars will step up on the offensive side. This pick has an +EV of 25% and has hit 8 of his last 15 games. We project him at just under 22 saves, granting a sizable gap above the 23.5 listed line. Look for the Panthers to keep control of the puck and prevent the Rangers from getting shots off as they look to bounce back on Tuesday night.

5. Ben Brown Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-115) Click here to see which Sportsbook has the best odds

  • AI Projection: 4.8
  • Cover: 73%
  • Hit Rate: 11/15
  • +EV: 29%

Ben Brown is on the bump tonight against the Milwaukee Brewers from American Family Field. He has been a solid pitcher on the Cubs roster, but has bounced back and forth from the bullpen to the starting rotation. He has several respectable starts for the Cubs this year and hasn't gotten lit up, but his strikeouts are difficult to measure due to the on and off starts. He's gone under this 5.5 line in all of his starts this year except the last one, and has only stayed in a game past the fifth inning one time. While he has the ability to dominate in short stretches, it is yet to be seen if he has the stamina to stay deep in the game as a former reliever, and thus we will focus on him to exit before reaching this number. He has a 68% cover projection to the under at this line, and a +EV of 28%.

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Peter is a sports writer focused on coverage and analysis of college football and basketball, as well as the NFL and other major sports. A graduate of the University of Missouri School of Journalism, he has been writing sports articles for over 8 years.

After working for ClutchPoints, Peter joined OddsChecker in 2023. He is a New York sports superfan and is fluent in the sports betting industry.

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