Top 5 Betting Picks for Wednesday, December 17th - Expert Predictions & Value Plays for Wednesday's NBA Slate
The Wolf is set to attack the NBA slate on Wednesday, December 17th, and there is value with Naz Reid props and other stars. Check out the Wolf Top 5 Props for tonight's NBA slate.
The Wolf - December 17, 2025, 9:00 AM EST
5 Minute ReadTop 5 Betting Picks for Wednesday, December 17th - Finding Value with Naz Reid, Josh Giddey Tonight
The confetti has barely settled in Las Vegas after the Knicks captured the NBA Cup, and now the league snaps right back into the grind of the regular season. Short turnarounds, shifting rotations, and emotional hangovers create prime opportunities for the Wolf to hunt value before the market fully adjusts. Wednesday’s slate gives us exactly that.
We get two heavyweight spots on the board, with the Grizzlies heading to Minnesota for a physical matchup against the Timberwolves and the Cavaliers traveling to Chicago to face a Bulls team still searching for consistency. Using FairPlay AI projections and the Oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool, these are the five strongest edges standing out as NBA action resumes.
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The Wolf Top 5 Betting Picks - Wednesday, December 17th
1. Naz Reid Over 6.5 Rebounds (+103) Check out the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 65.68%
- EV: +33.33%
- Hit Rate: Over in 6 of last 10
Minnesota vs. Memphis is built for frontcourt production, and Reid continues to thrive in extended minutes. The plus money is the key here. The Wolves’ rotation consistently puts Reid in rebounding positions against a Grizzlies team that attacks the glass aggressively, creating volume on both ends.
2. Josh Giddey Under 8.5 Assists (-121) Check out the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 68.43%
- EV: +25.23%
- Hit Rate: Under in 6 of last 10
Chicago hosting Cleveland sets up a slower-paced game with fewer clean passing lanes. Giddey’s assist ceiling has been capped recently, and the Bulls’ defensive structure limits ball movement. This number remains inflated relative to his current role.
3. Tre Jones Over 9.5 Points (-103) Check out the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 62.24%
- EV: +22.61%
- Hit Rate: Over in 7 of last 10
Jones continues to quietly cash point props. He does not need high usage to get there, just efficiency. With defenses focusing elsewhere, Jones keeps finding ways to score in bunches, making this a reliable mid-range target.
4. Santi Aldama Under 14.5 Points (-101) Check out the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 59.44%
- EV: +18.29%
- Hit Rate: Under in 7 of last 10
Aldama’s production has been trending down, and the matchup in Minnesota is not forgiving. The Timberwolves’ interior defense forces secondary scorers into tougher looks, and Aldama’s recent shot volume does not justify this line.
5. Ja Morant Under 18.5 Points (-124) Check out the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 64.37%
- EV: +15.87%
- Hit Rate: Under in 7 of last 10
This is a classic spot where name value keeps the line high. Minnesota’s perimeter defense is elite, and Morant has struggled to consistently break through strong on-ball pressure. Until his efficiency rebounds, the under continues to offer value.
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