Louisiana vs. Texas State Prediction: Can Texas State Shock Ragin Cajuns in Sun Belt Championship Semifinal?

Louisiana vs. Texas State Prediction: Can Texas State Shock Ragin Cajuns in Sun Belt Championship Semifinal?

The Texas State Bobcats and the Louisiana Lafayette Ragin Cajuns will duel things out tonight in the Sun Belt Semifinals from Pensacola, Florida. The fact that Texas State is playing in this game tonight is a surprise to many. The Bobcats pulled off a shocking upset when they knocked off the Marshall Herd yesterday, who was seen as one of the best teams in the conference. Let's break down my best college basketball bet tonight.

Louisiana vs. Texas State Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

• Date: Sunday, March 5, 2023
• Start Time: 8:30 pm ET
• Where to Watch: ESPN+

Louisiana vs. Texas State Odds

• Spread: ULL -7 (-110) | TSU +7 (-110)
• Total Odds: 136.5 (O -110, U -110)
• Moneyline Odds: ULL (-295) | TSU (+235)

Click here for Louisiana vs. Texas State Odds

Louisiana vs. Texas State Prediction

Texas State did not have a great regular season; they ended 11-21 overall and 7-11 in the conference. Despite the poor season, they are just two wins away from punching their ticket to March Madness, and this right here is why college basketball is so much fun.

ULL, meanwhile, was one of the best teams in the conference this year, going 13-5 in the Sun Belt and 24-7 overall. ULL won both meetings between the two teams this year, and neither was particularly close. The best player for the Ragin Cajuns is Jordan Brown, who averaged 19.7 points per game. If the Bobcats want to pull off this upset tonight, they will need to limit Jordan Brown. 

I am all over the dog tonight and shocked that this line is so high. Here is the thing that we need to understand. Yes, ULL is the more talented team, and yes, they have won both meetings this year, but none of that matters right now! Texas State just pulled off a massive upset, and they are playing their best basketball of the season. I expect them to play carefree and with extreme confidence today. ULL, meanwhile, has all the pressure in this game, which could force them to play tight and make more mistakes in what I expect to be a close and competitive game. 

Louisiana vs. Texas State Pick

• Texas State +7 (-110) (Bet $110 to Collect $210) Click Here for the Best Odds Available at DraftKings

Want our model's projections for every D1 college basketball game for March Madness? Sign up for MyOC Premium now and get a 7-day FREE trial