Big 12 Tournament Best Bets - 3 Player Props for Tuesday, March 10th Opening Rounds
The Big 12 Tournament officially began on Tuesday in Kansas City, what player props should you be targeting in tonight's action? The Wolf found 3 best bets for Tuesday, March 10th in the opening rounds of the Big 12 Tournament.
The Wolf - March 10, 2026, 5:00 PM EDT
3 Minute ReadBig 12 Tournament Best Bets - Targeting Nate Johnson, Anthony Roy on Tuesday Night
Conference tournament week means urgency across the board. The Big 12 rarely offers easy matchups, and the opening round is no exception. Teams fighting to extend their season often bring defensive intensity that tightens scoring environments and reshapes player production.
Tuesday’s slate features two intriguing matchups. Kansas State enters as a +10.5 underdog against BYU, while Colorado sits as a slight -1.5 favorite over Oklahoma State. In games where tournament pressure meets unfamiliar neutral court dynamics, player props often offer the clearest betting value.
The Wolf has identified three edges.
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The Wolf Hottest Props - Big 12 Tournament
1. Anthony Roy (Oklahoma State) – Under 17.5 Points (-102) Check out the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
• AI Probability: 60.21% • Implied Probability: 50.51% • EV: 19.22% • Trend: Under in 7 of last 10
Roy’s scoring role has been volatile down the stretch. Seven unders in the last ten games reflect a consistent drop below this number.
Colorado’s defensive structure also focuses heavily on limiting primary scoring threats. When Roy faces disciplined half court defenses, his shot opportunities often shrink quickly.
In tournament settings where pace slows and possessions become more deliberate, elevated scoring lines become harder to reach.
2. Nate Johnson (Kansas State) – Over 4.5 Rebounds (-120) Check out the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
• AI Probability: 67.42% • Implied Probability: 54.65% • EV: 23.38% • Trend: Over in 5 of last 10
Guard rebounding often becomes valuable in tournament environments. Long perimeter shots and chaotic possessions create opportunities for guards to collect boards.
Johnson plays heavy minutes for Kansas State, and when games remain competitive, his court time naturally increases rebound opportunities.
Against BYU’s perimeter heavy offense, those chances should remain steady.
3. Barrington Hargress (Colorado) – Under 16.5 Points (-120) Check out the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
• AI Probability: 66.13% • Implied Probability: 54.65% • EV: 21.02% • Trend: Under in 7 of last 10
Hargress has struggled to consistently clear this scoring line. Seven unders in the last ten games show a clear trend toward lower output.
BYU's defensive pressure on perimeter scorers could further suppress his scoring ceiling. Tournament environments often prioritize defensive matchups against opposing primary scorers.
This matchup sets up similarly.
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