Top 5 College Basketball Bets for Friday, March 13 - Brayden Burries, Tamin Lipsey Props for Big 12 Battle
The College basketball conference tournaments are in full swing on Friday, March 13th, with several bubble teams fighting for seeding. Which stars will dominate today? The Wolf is targeting 5 player props for these CBB tournaments.
The Wolf - March 13, 2026, 10:32 AM EDT
3 Minute ReadTop 5 College Basketball Bets for Friday - Finding Value with Tamin Lipsey, Brayden Burries Props in Today's Conference Tournaments
Conference tournament week is where chaos meets opportunity. Teams are fighting for automatic bids, bubble teams are playing for survival, and every possession carries postseason implications.
When pressure rises, rotations shorten and defensive intensity increases. That often suppresses scoring from primary options while creating value in situational props where the market still prices regular season averages. The Wolf hunts those gaps.
Here are the five strongest edges on Wednesday’s conference tournament slate.
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The Wolf Top 5 CBB Conference Tournament Betting Picks - Friday, March 13th
1. Collin Chandler – Over 1.5 Threes (-117) Check out the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
• AI Probability: 74.69% • Implied Probability: 54.05% • EV: 38.18% • Trend: Over in 6 of last 10
Kentucky’s offense thrives on perimeter spacing, and Chandler’s role as a spot up shooter has become increasingly important late in the season.
Against Florida’s defensive pressure, kick out opportunities should remain available. Two made threes is a small threshold for a shooter expected to see consistent attempts.
2. Jamarques Lawrence – Over 1.5 Threes (+104) Check out the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
• AI Probability: 67.04% • Implied Probability: 49.02% • EV: 36.76% • Trend: Over in 5 of last 10
Nebraska’s offense frequently generates perimeter looks, and Lawrence benefits when defenses collapse toward interior scorers.
At plus money, the value becomes even stronger. Tournament environments often produce extended minutes for reliable shooters.
3. Tamin Lipsey – Over 13.5 Points (-103) Check out the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
• AI Probability: 69.05% • Implied Probability: 50.76% • EV: 36.03%
Lipsey has quietly become Iowa State’s offensive stabilizer in competitive games. In tournament play where defensive pressure rises, experienced guards often take on larger scoring roles.
Expect him to remain aggressive offensively as Iowa State pushes toward the championship round.
4. Malik Thomas – Over 1.5 Threes (-117) Check out the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
• AI Probability: 73.46% • Implied Probability: 54.05% • EV: 35.9% • Trend: Over in 6 of last 10
Virginia’s defensive structure often collapses toward the paint, creating perimeter opportunities for opposing shooters.
Thomas’ scoring profile fits that environment perfectly. When his shot volume reaches five or more attempts from deep, clearing this line becomes very achievable.
5. Brayden Burries – Over 1.5 Threes (+100) Check out the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
• AI Probability: 66.06% • Implied Probability: 50% • EV: 32.12% • Trend: Over in 5 of last 10
Burries brings scoring versatility, but his perimeter shooting remains a key part of his offensive production.
In high pressure tournament games where teams pack the paint defensively, perimeter shooters often see increased opportunity. At even money, the probability gap becomes attractive.
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