5 Best March Madness Player Props for Day 2 of NCAA Tournament - Friday, March 20th
March Madness continues with exciting action on Friday night and the Wolf is fading the top stars in his 5 best player props. Check out these best bets for the second day of the NCAA Tournament First Round on Friday, March 20th.
The Wolf - March 20, 2026, 6:05 PM EDT
3 Minute ReadTop 5 March Madness Player Props: Friday's Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Round
Day 2 of March Madness brings another full slate of elimination basketball. By now, the tone is set. Favorites look to avoid early exits. Underdogs slow tempo and grind possessions. Every trip down the floor carries weight.
The market still leans on regular season production. The Wolf adjusts for tournament reality. That means fewer assists, tighter rotations, and value in both role players and unders where pressure suppresses output.
Here are the five strongest edges for Friday’s slate.
Looking for advanced AI predictions and props to enhance your College Basketball betting? Try out oddschecker+ now on this limited time 7-day free trial for March Madness!
Top 5 March Madness Player Props - Friday, March 20th First Round
1. Braden Smith – Under 10.5 Assists (-118) Check out the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 86.39%
- Implied Probability: 54.13%
- EV: 59.6%
- Trend: Under in 8 of last 10
Assist props remain one of the most fragile markets in tournament play. Eight unders in the last ten games show consistent suppression.
In a first round environment, pace slows and shot making becomes less reliable. That directly impacts assist conversion. This line is simply too high for this setting.
2. Donovan Dent – Over 0.5 Threes (-113) Check out the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
- • AI Probability: 86.15%
- • Implied Probability: 53.19%
- • EV: 61.96%
- • Trend: Over in 3 of last 10
This is a classic Wolf angle. The trend looks weak. The projection is strong.
Dent only needs one make. Volume is the key, not recent results. In tournament settings, guards with consistent minutes typically get enough attempts to clear low thresholds like this.
Opportunity outweighs recent misses.
3. Themus Fulks – Under 6.5 Assists (-105) Check out the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
- • AI Probability: 75.25%
- • Implied Probability: 51.28%
- • EV: 46.74%
- • Trend: Under in 5 of last 10
Another assist fade in a tournament environment. Fulks’ production depends heavily on pace and teammate efficiency.
Against a structured defense, passing lanes shrink and possessions slow. That limits assist accumulation significantly.
4. Dontae Horne – Over 3.5 Rebounds (-135) Check out the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
- • AI Probability: 79.47%
- • Implied Probability: 57.47%
- • EV: 38.28%
- • Trend: Over in 7 of last 10
Rebounds can become more predictable in tournament play, especially for players logging consistent minutes.
Horne’s recent trend shows strong consistency. Guards and wings often benefit from long rebounds in slower paced games where shot selection tightens.
Volume and positioning support the over.
5. Tarris Reed Jr. – Under 14.5 Points (-104) Check out the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
- • AI Probability: 70.25%
- • Implied Probability: 51.02%
- • EV: 37.69%
- • Trend: Under in 4 of last 10
Interior scoring becomes difficult in March. Defenses collapse and force contested looks around the rim.
Reed’s scoring output depends heavily on efficiency. In a tournament setting, those clean looks become harder to find. The model projects regression below this line.
More College Basketball Odds
Affiliate Disclosure.
We are not a gambling or betting operator, but we receive a commission from these companies when we advertise their brands and refer customers to them (affiliate marketing). We provide information, odds information and links to websites of these companies. Some of the information made available on our site may be positioned as a result of a commission paid to us by a third party. We do not take or place bets/transactions and any information on Our Products is provided for entertainment purposes only.
