Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest WNBA Odds for Friday, May 29th
The New York Liberty snapped their losing streak with a home win over the Mercury on Wednesday, and now the two teams rematch in a back to back. Can Kahleah Copper and the Mercury bounce back and snap their own four game streak? Let's take a look at this Mercury vs. Liberty prediction for Friday, May 29th.
Peter Alexis - May 29, 2026, 6:00 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadPhoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty Prediction: Can Kahleah Copper, Mercury Snap 4-Game Losing Streak in Friday's Rematch?
The Phoenix Mercury visit the New York Liberty at 7:30 p.m. ET in a quick rematch after New York beat Phoenix 84-74 on Wednesday. The Liberty are favored by 5.5 at home, while the Mercury enter on a four-game losing streak and need a response before the skid starts to define their early season.
New York has also been uneven despite the recent win, which makes this rematch more interesting than the spread suggests. The Liberty finally flashed some toughness in the last meeting, but the Mercury now get an immediate chance to adjust after one bad third quarter completely flipped Wednesday’s result.
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Friday, May 29. 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- How to Watch: ION
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Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty Odds
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Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty Prediction
The head-to-head history from earlier this week matters because Phoenix was competitive before everything unraveled. New York used a 23-0 third-quarter run to take control, turning Mercury turnovers and rushed possessions into clean scoring chances. That type of avalanche can happen against the Liberty’s length and defensive pressure, but it is also difficult to repeat two games in a row against the same opponent.
Phoenix still has enough talent to keep this close. Kahleah Copper gives the Mercury a lead scorer who can create her own offense, while Alyssa Thomas can stabilize possessions through rebounding, passing, and physical drives. The Mercury have been losing, but they have not been completely overmatched, and the urgency of a four-game losing streak should create a sharper response.
The Liberty have the higher ceiling with Sabrina Ionescu, Breanna Stewart, Jonquel Jones, and Satou Sabally, but the chemistry is still developing. Ionescu’s return helps the offense long term, yet reintegrating her and Sabally has made the rhythm uneven at times. New York can absolutely win again at home, but covering requires cleaner offense for four quarters and another defensive burst strong enough to create separation.
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty Best Bet
- Pick: Phoenix Mercury +5.5 (-110) Click here to get the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Phoenix +5.5 is the play. The Liberty may still have the late-game edge, but the Mercury should be better prepared for New York’s pressure after Wednesday’s collapse. With Copper and Thomas leading a more urgent effort, Phoenix can keep this inside the number while trying to snap its four-game losing streak.
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