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Money continues to come in on Jon Jones tonight, making him less valuable as a betting option. Trent Pruitt dives into some interesting prop bets that offer an alternative wagering opportunity.
ANALYSIS

Jon Jones Prop Bet Picks: Best Jon Jones Props to Bet for UFC 285

Jon Jones makes his return to the octagon tonight after more than a three-year layoff. There won’t be any easing back into the MMA world, as his first task is taking on top-ranked Heavyweight Ciryl Gane for the title. 

There’s no shortage of ways to bet on tonight’s UFC 285 main event from Las Vegas, but I’ve narrowed in on these three prop bets. 

Want to bet on the Jones vs Gane UFC 285 fight? Click here for over $5,000 worth of sports betting promos to use for this UFC 285 fight!

JON JONES VS. CIRYL GANE ODDS

FighterOdds
Jon Jones-175
Ciryl Gane+150

First, check out the moneyline odds for the UFC 285 main event featuring Jon Jones and Ciryl Gane. It’s worth noting that Jones opened as a -130 favorite at most sportsbooks, meaning the money has flowed in on him and driven the price up. 

BEST JON JONES VS. CIRYL GANE PROP BETS

Fight Does Not Go the Distance (+100) Bet $100 to collect $200 DraftKings has the best odds; click here to bet

You have to think that any time two heavyweights step into the cage together that there’s a possibility of someone going to sleep. While maybe Jones and Gane aren’t necessarily as reliant on the knockout as other heavyweights, like Derrick Lewis or Jair Rozenstruik, these brawlers still possess powerful hands. 

You don’t have to look too far into the history books to find Gane’s last knockout, a third-round finish against Tuivasa in September. As for Jones, he’s seen three straight fights go the distance; however, 16 of his 26 total wins have come inside the final horn. With an even-money payout, I think it’s well worth the risk that someone exits the cage before the 25-minute mark. 

Fight Does Not Start Round 5 (+120) Bet $100 to collect $220 DraftKings has the best odds; click here to bet

Similar to the thought process above, we’re banking on one of these fighters tapping out or getting knocked out. But in this bet, we say it takes five fewer minutes than the full 25 minutes. 

Gane’s last two wins have come before the fifth round, collecting knockouts over Tuivasa and Derrick Lewis previously. It was apparent in those bouts that the Frenchman was able to maneuver around the less-fit fighters and eventually find a combination to end them. It’ll be a different story with Jones, who is in a completely different echelon in terms of athletic ability. But, as I was alluding to above, with two men of this stature, all it takes is one clean blow to drop an opponent for good. 

Exact Method of Victory: Jon Jones by Submission (+500) Bet $100 to collect $600 DraftKings has the best odds; click here to bet

An intriguing prop that has an excellent payout is Jon Jones, to win via submission. Now, you have to go back to 2012 to find Jones’ last submission, a keylock in the fourth round against Viktor Belfort. But, of his 26 professional wins, the American has secured six wins by submission. 

Gane could make a great candidate to tap before the final horn. I think we were all shocked when Francis Ngannou decided to take the fight to the canvas when he took on Gane last January. Not only did he attempt to turn it into a wrestling match, but the former champ also dominated Gane, racking up four takedowns and 8:29 worth of ground control. 

It’s apparent that Gane’s wrestling is a bit of a weak spot, exemplified by the Ngannou bout as well as his 55% takedown defense rate. Enter Jon Jones, who won a wrestling state championship in high school and added an NJCAA national championship at the collegiate level with Iowa Central Community College. 

Jones is a black belt in Gaidojutsu and boasts a purple belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. If Jones wants, he can have his way with Gane on the ground. Let’s take a shot with the +500 payout that Jones claims the strap via submission.

Jon Jones vs. Ciryl Gane Start Time, Where to Watch, Odds

  • When: Saturday, March 4, 2023,
  • Time: 10:00 p.m. ET / 7:00 p.m. PT
  • Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
  • Where to Watch: PPV

Click here for Jon Jones vs. Ciryl Gane odds

Article Author

Boxing/MMAGolfNFLMLBNHLNBA

Trent is a Chicago native who has been an avid sports fan since he could walk. He played sports throughout his youth and played collegiate rugby at Arizona State University. Trent still resides in Arizona, where he spends his days covering sports from a sports betting perspective. He fell in love with the analytical side of sports in his late teens and has been following the sports betting industry for 10+ years now! You can follow him on Twitter and Instagram for all of his sports betting picks at @Trentbets.

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