Tai Tuivasa vs. Tallison Teixeira Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Odds for UFC 325 Australia Heavyweight Bout
Tai Tuivasa will host Tallison Teixeira on his home turf tonight in the UFC 325 event in Syndey, Australia. Can Tuivasa perform as a big underdog and avoid a Round 1 KO? Peter Alexis breaks down the Sydney main event on January 31st.
Peter Alexis - January 31, 2026, 6:15 PM EST
4 Minute ReadTai Tuivasa vs. Tallison Teixeira Prediction: Can Tuivasa Snap Losing Streak on Home Soil at UFC 325 Australia?
UFC 325 brings the Octagon to Sydney for a rare Australian showcase, and Tai Tuivasa will be one of the loudest cheered fighters on the card. The fan favorite heavyweight is back home in front of a partisan crowd, but the stakes could not be higher. Tuivasa enters this bout as a +275 underdog after losing five straight fights, a stunning downturn for a fighter who once opened his UFC career at 15-3 and looked like a long-term contender in the division.
Standing across from him is Tallison Teixeira, a rising heavyweight prospect still trying to establish himself after his first career setback. Teixeira started his professional run 8-0 before getting stopped by Derrick Lewis earlier this year, a harsh but valuable lesson against one of the most dangerous punchers in UFC history. Now 26 years old, Teixeira gets a chance to bounce back against a veteran whose best days may be behind him, even with the crowd firmly on Tuivasa’s side.
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Tai Tuivasa vs. Tallison Teixeira Odds
- Moneyline: Tuivasa (+275), Teixeira (-350)
Tai Tuivasa vs. Tallison Teixeira Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Saturday, January 31, 2026
- Time: 9:45 PM ET (Estimated Fight Time)
- Where to Watch: Paramount+
Click here for complete Tuivasa vs. Teixeira odds
Tai Tuivasa vs. Tallison Teixeira Prediction
The odds reflect the trajectory of both fighters. Tuivasa has not won since 2022 and has struggled badly with defense and durability during his skid. While he remains dangerous early, his fights have increasingly turned once opponents weather the first few minutes. Teixeira, on the other hand, brings cleaner boxing, better footwork, and a more measured approach. The loss to Lewis exposed his vulnerability, but it also showed how aggressive he can be when hunting a finish.
Despite the losing streak, Tuivasa should not be dismissed entirely, especially in Sydney. The home environment matters, and he will likely come out energized and aggressive. That is why a quick first-round blowout feels less likely than the betting market suggests. Tuivasa has enough toughness and experience to survive the opening frame, particularly against a Teixeira who may be cautious after getting knocked out in his last appearance.
Once the fight moves into the second round, the balance shifts sharply. Tuivasa’s gas tank and defense have been unreliable, and that is where his recent losses have unraveled. Teixeira tends to grow into fights, applying pressure and landing straighter shots as opponents slow. If Tuivasa is still standing after five minutes, the second round is where Teixeira’s youth and power should begin to overwhelm him.
The best value angle is not the moneyline, but the timing of the finish. Tuivasa’s ability to survive early combined with his tendency to fade makes the second round the sweet spot. Best Bet: Tallison Teixeira to win by second-round KO at +380 odds.
Tai Tuivasa vs. Tallison Teixeira Pick
- Pick: Tallison Teixeria to Win in Round 2 (+380) Check out these best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook odds
MMA ODDS & PICKS
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