Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest UFC 326 Odds for Co-Main Event
Caio Borralho faces Reinier de Ridder in the co-main event of UFC 326 in Las Vegas on Saturday night, March 7 in a key middleweight matchup between two top-10 contenders. Both fighters are looking to rebound from recent losses and stay in the title conversation at 185 pounds. Check out our Borralho vs De Ridder prediction and best bet for UFC 326.
Peter Alexis - March 7, 2026, 7:50 PM EST
4 Minute ReadCaio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest UFC 326 Odds for Co-Main Event
The co-main event of UFC 326 in Las Vegas on Saturday, March 7 features a pivotal middleweight showdown between No. 7 ranked Caio Borralho and No. 8 Reinier de Ridder. Both fighters enter the matchup looking to bounce back from recent losses, adding even more stakes to a fight that could significantly impact the division’s title picture.
Borralho enters as the betting favorite at -230, while de Ridder sits as a +190 underdog heading into the bout. The matchup pits two highly skilled grapplers against one another, but stylistically it could evolve into a much more balanced fight than many expect as both men search for a statement win in the middleweight rankings.
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Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder Odds
- Moneyline: Borralho (-230), de Ridder (+200)
Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Saturday, March 7th, 2026
- Time: 10:45 PM ET (Estimated Fight Time)
- Where to Watch: Paramount+
Click here for complete Borralho vs. de Ridder odds
Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder Prediction
Borralho (17-2, 7-1 UFC) returns after suffering his first loss inside the Octagon, a unanimous decision defeat to Nassourdine Imavov that snapped a 17 fight unbeaten streak. Prior to that setback, Borralho had firmly established himself as one of the division’s most well rounded contenders with wins over Paul Craig and Jared Cannonier, the latter earning Fight of the Night honors. Known for his technical approach, Borralho blends strong grappling with improving kickboxing, allowing him to dictate where fights take place.
De Ridder (21-3, 4-1 UFC) brings one of the most dangerous submission arsenals in the division. The former two-division ONE Championship champion quickly made waves in the UFC with wins over Gerald Meerschaert, Kevin Holland, Bo Nickal, and Robert Whittaker. However, his momentum stalled when he suffered a fourth round TKO loss to Brendan Allen after appearing exhausted late in the fight. De Ridder’s elite grappling makes him dangerous in any position, but his gas tank and durability could become factors in a high pace fight.
While both fighters possess strong grappling credentials, the stylistic matchup may actually favor Borralho. The Brazilian appears to be the more complete mixed martial artist with cleaner striking and reliable takedown defense. If Borralho can neutralize de Ridder’s submission threats and keep large portions of the fight standing, his technical kickboxing and overall control could allow him to win rounds consistently over three rounds.
Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder Pick
- Pick: Borralho By Decision (+140) Check out these best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Borralho appears well positioned to win the fight, but a finish may be unlikely. Despite his dominance, Borralho owns a modest 53% career finish rate and just two stoppages in the UFC, often preferring to control fights with pace and positional advantage.
Given the durability and grappling ability of de Ridder, the most likely outcome is Borralho grinding out a technical performance over three rounds. That makes Borralho to win by decision at +140 a strong value play for bettors expecting the Brazilian to reclaim momentum in the middleweight division.
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