
Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest UFC Baku Odds for Saturday, June 27th
Rafael Fiziev headlines UFC Baku against Manuel Torres on Saturday, June 27, in a lightweight main event carrying major local stakes. Fiziev gets the showcase spot in Azerbaijan, while Torres enters as a dangerous Mexican finisher looking to spoil the homecoming.
Peter Alexis - June 27, 2026, 10:00 AM EDT
4 Minute ReadRafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres Prediction: Can Fiziev Outlast Torres in Azerbaijan Homecoming at UFC Baku Main Event on Saturday?
UFC Baku closes Saturday afternoon with Fiziev and Torres in the main event at 2:45 p.m. ET. Fiziev has deep ties to Azerbaijan and should have the arena behind him, making this one of the most meaningful atmospheres of his UFC career.
The odds are even, with Fiziev and Torres both listed at -108. It is a true pick’em fight on the board, matching Fiziev’s technical kickboxing and high-level experience against Torres’ fast-starting power and finishing danger.
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Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres Odds
- Moneyline: Fiziev (-108), Torres (-108)
Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Sunday, June 27, 2026
- Time: 2:45 PM ET (Estimated Fight Time)
- Where to Watch: Paramount+
Click here for complete Fiziev vs. Torres odds
Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres Prediction
Fiziev enters with a 13-5 record, and the recent results are rough on paper. He has lost four of his last five, but the context matters because he has been fighting elite or near-elite competition, dealing with injuries and operating against a far tougher schedule than Torres. His striking remains clean, layered and dangerous when he is healthy, especially when he can work behind kicks, counters and body attacks.
Torres is 17-3 and has become one of the lightweight division’s most explosive early finishers. He has won five of his six UFC fights by first-round stoppage, and that makes the opening minutes extremely dangerous. The question is what happens if the first wave does not end the fight, because his loss to Ignacio Bahamondes showed that a longer technical battle can expose defensive gaps.
The matchup likely comes down to whether Fiziev can survive the early chaos and force the fight into rhythm. Torres is at his best when opponents get dragged into a brawl before they make reads. Fiziev is at his best when he can slow the pace, read reactions and punish mistakes with sharper mechanics. The home crowd could add pressure, but it should also give Fiziev real energy if the fight starts to swing his way.
Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres Pick
- Pick: Fiziev Moneyline (-105) Check out these best odds at BetMGM Sportsbook
Torres is dangerous enough to make this a true coin flip, but Fiziev has the better technical striking, stronger opponent history and major crowd support in Azerbaijan. In an even-priced main event, the local fighter with the deeper skill set is the side.
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