Carli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest UFC Odds for August 22nd in Sacramento
Carli Judice faces Jeisla Chaves at approximately 8:45 PM ET on Saturday, August 22, at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento. Can the unbeaten Chaves withstand one of the flyweight division's most aggressive strikers, or will Judice add another finish to her growing UFC résumé? Check out this Carli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves prediction and best bet for August 22.
Peter Alexis - August 22, 2026, 6:00 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadCarli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves Prediction: Will Judice Win Before Going the Distance on Saturday Night?
Judice is a massive -575 favorite against Chaves +425, with Over 2.5 Rounds priced at -154. Rather than laying an enormous moneyline on Judice, the preferred market is Chaves to go the distance at -125.
Judice brings a 6-2 record with five knockouts, and four of those finishes have come in the opening round. She has won three straight UFC fights after losing her promotional debut, knocking out Yuneisy Duben in 1:40, stopping Nicolle Caliari in the third round and most recently beating Juliana Miller by unanimous decision in February.
Carli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves Odds
- Moneyline: Judice (-625), Chaves (+450)
Carli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Saturday, August 22nd, 2026
- Time: 8:45 PM ET (Estimated Fight Time)
- Where to Watch: Paramount+
Click here for complete Carli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves odds
Carli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves Prediction
Her pace is particularly difficult to deal with. Judice lands 9.32 significant strikes per minute, an enormous output rate, and is comfortable turning fights into extended striking exchanges. At the same time, the Miller result showed that she can dominate without necessarily finding a finish.
Chaves enters at a perfect 8-0 with four knockouts and four decision victories. Her UFC debut came in June against Yuneisy Duben, where she survived a competitive three-round fight and earned a split decision. Her previous Contender Series appearance against Sofia Montenegro also went all 15 minutes before Chaves won another split decision.
That durability is the foundation of this wager. Chaves has never been stopped or even lost professionally, and four of her eight victories have already gone to the judges. She has also now completed three rounds in consecutive appearances against progressively stronger opposition.
Judice deserves to be heavily favored because of the difference in UFC experience and offensive output, but -575 assumes too much certainty. The question for this prop is not whether Chaves can win. It is whether she can remain standing and competitive for 15 minutes.
Carli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves Pick
- Pick: Fight To Go The Distance (-125) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Judice's knockout ability makes that uncomfortable, but Chaves' unbeaten record and recent decision-heavy résumé offer enough evidence of durability. At -125, backing Chaves simply to hear the final horn is a far more useful angle than paying an enormous premium on the favorite.
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