MarQuel Mederos vs. Mason Jones Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest UFC Odds for August 22nd in Sacramento
MarQuel Mederos faces Mason Jones at approximately 9:15 PM ET on Saturday, August 22, at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento. Can Mederos protect his lengthy unbeaten streak, or will Jones continue his successful second UFC run? Check out this MarQuel Mederos vs. Mason Jones prediction and best bet for August 22.
Peter Alexis - August 22, 2026, 6:30 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadMarQuel Mederos vs. Mason Jones Prediction: Can Jones Win by Decision in Sacramento?
Jones is a -285 favorite against Mederos +230 in this lightweight matchup, with Over 2.5 Rounds heavily favored at -200. Jones by decision at +125 offers a better price on a fight between two durable lightweights who have repeatedly proven capable of going the full 15 minutes.
Jones enters with an 18-2 record and has won seven consecutive fights. Since returning to the UFC, he has beaten Jeremy Stephens by unanimous decision, stopped Bolaji Oki in the second round and most recently earned another unanimous decision over Axel Sola in March.
MarQuel Mederos vs. Mason Jones Odds
- Moneyline: Mederos (+230), Jones (-285)
MarQuel Mederos vs. Mason Jones Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Saturday, August 22nd, 2026
- Time: 9:15 PM ET (Estimated Fight Time)
- Where to Watch: Paramount+
Click here for complete MarQuel Mederos vs. Mason Jones odds
MarQuel Mederos vs. Mason Jones Prediction
The Welsh lightweight combines sustained pressure with enough wrestling and striking variety to consistently win minutes even when he cannot find a finish. Seven of his 18 professional wins have come by decision, and neither of his two career defeats came inside the distance.
Mederos is 11-1-1 and enters on a 10-fight unbeaten streak. His last fight ended in a majority draw against Chris Padilla in April after previous decision victories over Mark Choinski and Austin Hubbard. All four of his UFC appearances have reached the third-round horn.
Mederos is also exceptionally difficult to put away. His only professional loss came by decision, while five of his 11 victories have also been decided by the judges. He owns an 83% takedown-defense rate, which should force Jones to work for every positional advantage rather than simply dominate on the mat.
That durability makes laying -285 on Jones unnecessary, but it also supports the favorite's decision prop. Jones can push a high pace, mix takedown attempts into his offense and win rounds without needing to expose himself searching for a finish against a fighter who has never been stopped.
MarQuel Mederos vs. Mason Jones Pick
- Pick: Mason Jones By Decision (+125) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Both fighters have enough power to create dangerous moments, but the recent evidence overwhelmingly points toward a competitive three-round fight. Jones has the cleaner pressure game and more proven UFC résumé, making a 29-28 or 30-27 type victory much more appealing at +125 than his standard moneyline.
MMA ODDS & PICKS
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