Boise State vs. Notre Dame Prop Pick: Can Maddux Madsen Air it Out Against Ranked Irish?
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish will welcome the Boise State Broncos in a battle of two playoff teams from a year ago. Can Maddux Madsen keep it close against the revamped Notre Dame side? McBets provides his top prop pick in Boise State vs. Notre Dame.
McBets - October 4, 2025, 9:00 AM EDT
5 Minute ReadBoise State vs. Notre Dame Prop Pick: Targeting Maddux Madsen Passing Props vs. Fighting Irish
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish appear to have found their footing after a bumpy start, evening their record at 2-2 with a dominant win over Arkansas on the road. Running back Jeremiyah Love stole the show in that matchup, finding the end zone four times and showing the kind of explosiveness that can carry this offense through the rest of the season. After early-season setbacks against Miami and Texas A&M, the Irish know they can’t afford another slip-up if they want to keep their playoff hopes alive. From here on out, every game is must-win territory.
Awaiting them in South Bend is a Boise State team that also reached the playoff last season but is navigating a very different challenge this fall. Quarterback Maddux Madsen remains the steady hand under center, but the offense is missing its most dynamic piece with Ashton Jeanty off to the NFL. Without Jeanty’s all-purpose production, the Broncos have leaned heavier on Madsen’s arm, but the results have been inconsistent. Now, he faces one of the toughest defenses in college football in Notre Dame, a unit that can overwhelm offensive lines and make quarterbacks uncomfortable for four straight quarters.
This matchup pits two programs with recent playoff credentials against one another, but the trajectories look very different. Notre Dame’s balance between Love in the ground game and an improving passing attack gives them a clear edge, especially at home. Boise State’s best shot will be for Madsen to get in rhythm early and stretch the field through the air, but against Notre Dame’s secondary, that’s a steep challenge.
Can the Broncos prove they’re still a national contender without Jeanty, or will the Irish continue their push to climb back into the playoff picture? South Bend should provide the answer Saturday night.
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Boise State vs. Notre Dame Odds
Boise State vs. Notre Dame Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
- Time: 3:30 PM ET
- Where to Watch: NBC, Peacock
Click here for complete Boise State vs. Notre Dame odds
Boise State vs. Notre Dame Prediction
When you look at Saturday’s matchup between Boise State and Notre Dame, one prop jumps off the board: Maddux Madsen Over 215.5 passing yards (-114).
Madsen has been remarkably consistent through the air, clearing this number in five straight games while averaging an impressive 286.6 passing yards per contest. Boise State has leaned heavily on him to move the ball, and that trend isn’t likely to change against a top-tier opponent.
Notre Dame’s defense may have a strong reputation, but the numbers suggest vulnerability against the pass. The Irish are giving up 268.8 passing yards per game, leaving the door wide open for Madsen to find success through the air.
The game script also sets up perfectly for this play. With the Broncos listed as 21.5-point underdogs, Madsen should be asked to throw early and often in an effort to keep pace. That kind of negative game flow is a bettor’s best friend when targeting quarterback passing overs.
All signs point to Madsen being busy — and productive — through the air. At -114 odds, the over feels like strong value.
Boise State vs. Notre Dame Pick
- 1.5 Unit Pick: Maddux Madsen Over 215.5 Passing Yards (-114) Click here to get the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
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