Top 5 College Football Bowl Prop Picks for Tuesday, December 23rd - Value Plays for New Orleans Bowl, Frisco Bowl
The Wolf is targeting a stacked college football slate for Tuesday December 23rd, finding edges in the Ohio vs. UNLV Frisco bowl game and Southern Miss vs. Western Kentucky New Orleans Bowl game. Check out these top player props and AI advantages for Tuesday's bowl action.
The Wolf - December 23, 2025, 3:45 PM EST
5 Minute ReadTop 5 Betting Picks for Tuesday, December 23rd: Finding Value on Western Kentucky vs. Southern Miss, UNLV vs. Ohio
Tuesday’s bowl slate brings chaos, uncertainty, and opportunity. With Southern Miss and Ohio both navigating postseason games without their head coaches, sportsbooks are struggling to properly price usage, efficiency, and game scripts. Add in opt-outs, transfer portal distractions, and short prep windows, and this is exactly where The Wolf thrives.
Southern Miss vs. Western Kentucky headlines the night, while Ohio vs. UNLV offers sneaky value as well. These are the types of bowl games where market hesitation creates soft numbers, and our Oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool is already lighting up with exploitable edges. Let’s hunt.
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The Wolf Top 5 Betting Picks - Tuesday, December 23rd
1. Tychuan Chapman Under 2.5 Receptions (-110) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 66.09%
- Expected Value: +26.17%
- Hit Rate: Under in 5 of last 10
Chapman’s role has steadily declined, and with Southern Miss without its head coach, offensive structure becomes even less reliable. In bowl games like this, play-calling tightens, rotations shorten, and fringe pass-catchers are often phased out entirely. This line still reflects regular-season usage, not bowl reality.
2. Rodney Harris Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (-114) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 67.93%
- Expected Value: +27.52%
- Hit Rate: Over in 4 of last 10
Harris is a big-play threat whose yardage line remains suppressed due to recent inconsistency. Against UNLV, Ohio will need chunk plays to stay competitive, especially with limited schematic continuity. Harris does not need volume, just one or two explosive connections to cash this ticket.
3. Elijah Metcalf Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-112) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 58.87%
- Expected Value: +11.43%
- Hit Rate: Over in 4 of last 10
Southern Miss' passing attack should remain aggressive, even with postseason uncertainty swirling. Metcalf continues to draw high-leverage targets, and Southern Miss has struggled to contain perimeter receivers all season. This is a classic bowl spot where talent and opportunity outweigh recent box scores.
4. Southern Miss -2.5 Point Spread (-105) Check out the best odds at BetMGM Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 56.71%
- Expected Value: +10.58%
- Hit Rate: Covered in 6 of last 10
Coaching turnover cuts both ways, and Southern Miss enters this matchup as an undervalued underdog despite familiarity with Western Kentucky. In lower-tier bowls, motivation and physicality often matter more than playbook depth. Getting points in what projects as a one-score game is a position worth taking.
5. Jairus Mack Under 2.5 Receptions (-114) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 56.22%
- Expected Value: +5.54%
- Hit Rate: Under in 5 of last 10
Mack’s target share has been volatile, and bowl games amplify that volatility. With offensive roles shifting and coaches leaning on trusted options, secondary receivers are often the first casualties. This number is simply too high for a player with inconsistent involvement.
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