Fantasy Football Week 6: 5 Spicy Predictions
You ever eat a donut dipped in hot sauce?
If you answered "yes" to that question, I will admit, it is certainly a bold snack choice. Also, get yourself checked out.
As opposed to being bald, being bold would be a 75-year-old man sporting a mohawk.
Consider this piece a 75-year-old man with a mohawk eating a serving of a donut dipped in hot sauce. It's bold, spicy, and it certainly won't always end well.
(All predictions are for half-PPR scoring and Yahoo scoring for quarterbacks.)
1. Josh Allen Eclipses 37 Fantasy Points
In 49 career games, Josh Allen has surpassed 37 fantasy points just twice, with Week 3 against Washington being one of those games. He could very well reach that total this week.
If you exclude matchups against a zero-legged Carson Wentz and the pick-happy Zach Wilson, the Tennessee Titans have ceded an average of 26.9 fantasy points to Kyler Murray, Russell Wilson, and Trevor Lawrence. According to Football Outsiders, they rank eighth-worst in Pass Defense DVOA through five weeks. To top it all off, they've also allowed at least 20 yards and a score on the ground to two signal-callers this season.
Allen is the QB1 this week, and the fact that this game has a 53.5 projected total certainly doesn't hurt.
2. Derek Carr Totals Fewer Than 200 Yards Passing and Finishes Outside the Top 20 at Quarterback
To date, the only quarterback who's thrown for more yards than Derek Carr is Tom Brady, who has played one more game than the Las Vegas signal-caller.
Now, after a red-hot start in which he exceeded 380 passing yards in three straight games, Carr has cooled off considerably, posting just 196 and 206 in his last two outings, respectively. Matchup-wise, things won't get any easier for the 30-year-old this week.
The Raiders will be traveling to Denver to take on a Broncos team that his limited the opposition to 222.8 passing yards per contest. Carr could be in for a long day.
The fact that this will be the first game without Jon Gruden calling plays certainly won't help.
3. Najee Harris Finishes as a Top-3 Running Back for the First Time in His Career
Let's get this out of the way -- Seattle's defense is atrocious. That said, the Seahawks have been particularly generous to opposing running backs.
Through five games, Seattle has surrendered an average of 189.4 scrimmage yards to the position. Yikes. They've also allowed five tuddies to backs.
Meanwhile, Najee Harris has averaged a whopping 27.7 opportunities (rushes plus targets) over the last three games. That kind of volume should result in a career game for the Steelers running back.
The rookie also has 11 red zone opportunities in just his last three games, so sprinking a bit on him being the first touchdown scorer at +430 odds is something worthy of consideration.
4. Stefon Diggs Finishes as the WR1
I've already predicted a monster performance from Josh Allen, so I might as well double down with Stefon Diggs.
Right now, Tennessee's secondary couldn't stop a nosebleed, let alone a wideout like Diggs. Through five games, the 224.5 receiving yards the Titans have given up to receivers is the most in the NFL. Oh, and they've also allowed the third-most scores to the position. Sheesh.
Diggs has gotten off to an underwhelming start this season, but if there was ever a correction game, this is it.
5. Ricky Seals-Jones Finishes as a Top 5 Tight End
Washington is dealing with a ton of injuries on the offensive side of the ball. In addition to Logan Thomas being out, Antonio Gibson, Curtis Samuel, and Terry McLaurin are all questionable. Poor Taylor Heinicke.
The Football Team will need to pass...a lot...if they want to keep up with the Chiefs, and that means Ricky Seals-Jones could be showered with targets.
The 26-year-old tight end saw nine targets last week, and that kind of volume should play well against this defense. So far, no team in the league has conceded more yards to tight ends than the Chiefs in 2021.
If you're feeling it, betting on RSJ to score in this game would net you a price of +333. Yum.