NFL Week 4 Parlay Picks: Riding Josh Allen and Jonathan Taylor
NFL Week 4 Parlay Picks: Riding Josh Allen and Jonathan Taylor
NFL Week 4 Prediction
1u - Josh Allen Over 1.5 Passing TDs / Jonathan Taylor 50+ Rushing Yards (-137) (Bet $137 to Win $100)
This is definitely one of the weirder plays I’ve ever had but I really dig it. Josh Allen 2 passing touchdowns is the original look. I was gonna pair it with the usual under 14.5 1Q leg but that game scares me with the 51-point total. PointsBet has Josh Allen to throw 2 touchdowns at -170 which is better than other books but it’s too much juice to lay by itself for the NFL. We went with a juice reducer of Jonathan Taylor's 50+ rush yards. JT has run for 50+ yards in 27 straight games. The guy is absolutely unreal.
So our juice reducer has hit in 27 straight and he now faces the Titans who have allowed a running back to rush for 50+ yards in all 3 games this season. Our hardest leg to hit here is the Josh Allen one but that has an amazing hit rate as well. Josh Allen is 3/3 this season on hitting this prop and has thrown for 2+ touchdowns in 17 of his last 20 games! The 51-point total and Buffalo heading into this game as 3-point favorites make you think that Vegas has this game as Buffalo winning 27-24. If that’s the case then that looks like 3 touchdowns and two field goals. If Buffalo scores three touchdowns then I’d like to believe Allen threw for two of those.
Baltimore allowed 6 passing touchdowns to Tua Tagovailoa, why couldn’t Josh Allen throw 2? This game has shootout written all over it as Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen are two of the frontrunners to win MVP this season. Allen has 9 passing touchdowns in 3 games this year which is good for an average of 3 a game, we only need two. A 27/27 hit rate and a 17/20 hit rate at -137 feels like great value and we will gladly take this. Let's roll!