Buffalo Bills vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, Player Prop Picks: Will Najee Harris Lead the Way?

Buffalo Bills vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, Player Prop Picks: Will Najee Harris Lead the Way?

Bills vs. Steelers Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

Date: Sunday, October, 9

Time: 1:00 pm ET

Where to Watch: CBS

Click Here for Bills vs Steelers Odds

The Pittsburgh Steelers have made the switch. Kenny Pickett will make his first NFL start against the Buffalo Bills, on the road, in a hostile environment, as a two-touchdown underdog.

This is a weird spot to put your first-round draft pick in. But the Steelers have seen enough of Mitch Trubisky and are ready to move on with Kenny Pickett at quarterback. The Steelers haven't had much success offensively this season. Trubisky had two passing touchdowns, while Najee Harris rushed for just one touchdown on 58 carries. The offensive line has been solid in pass protection, but in the run game, the offensive line needs some work. Either way, the offensive line will be challenged against an excellent defensive front for the Bills. Once Pickett is under pressure, he'll start to make rookie mistakes. He already threw three interceptions (including a last-second heave) in the second half of last week's game for the Steelers.

Meanwhile, the Bills have been tremendous offensively. Josh Allen is already responsible for 12 touchdowns and has thrown for 1227 yards while rushing for 183 yards through four games. He's already connected with Stefon Diggs 31 times for 406 yards and four touchdowns. Things are going well for the Bills on the offensive end. If you want to beat the Bills, you have to get the run game going. The Steelers will try to make that happen, but again, the Steelers haven't blocked well for Harris and the rest of the run game this season. Here are some player props for Sunday's matchup between the Buffalo Bills vs. Pittsburgh Steelers.

Buffalo Bills vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Best Player Prop Picks

Najee Harris Over 51.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

With Kenny Pickett getting his first season start, the Steelers will want to limit mistakes and turnovers early. I'd have to imagine that the Steelers would like to get Harris going early in this game against the Bills. They will want to shorten the game, put together long drives, and ensure that the Bills can't put up many points.

I'd argue that the Bills' rush defense is the worst area of their defense. I know Pittsburgh hasn't blocked all that well, but Najee Harris will break out sooner than later. This could be the game where he does just that.

Stefon Diggs Over 77.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

The passing game has been weaker against the Ravens and Dolphins over the last two weeks. The Bills were on the road in those two games. This week they're home. But even in those two weeks, Diggs had 11 catches on 17 targets for a combined 136 yards. Buffalo has only had one home game against Tennessee, where Diggs had 12 catches on 15 targets for 148 yards. Look for a performance like the one he had against Tennessee.

Josh Allen Over 37.5 Longest Completion (-115)

The longest completion could be to Diggs. Allen's already connected with Diggs for a 53-yard gain and a 46-yard gain this season. With Gabe Davis and Dawson Knox getting healthier and Khalil Shakir and Isaiah McKenzie doing their thing, the Bills have many speedy weapons that can help Allen secure a significant gain down the field.

Buffalo will always take their shots. But they can also get a massive gain from short-yardage throws that gain many yards after the catch. A simple Allen throw to Diggs down the field for 80 yards would be nice!

Bills vs. Steelers Player Prop Picks

• Najee Harris Over 51.5 Rushing Yards (-115) (Bet $115 to win $100)
• Stefon Diggs Over 77.5 Receiving Yards (-115) (Bet $115 to win $100)
• Josh Allen Over 37.5 Longest Completion (-115) (Bet $115 to win $100)

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