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The Green Bay Packers take on the New York Giants from London to kick off NFL Week 5's Sunday football slate. Josh Gayle has a bet that is worth waking up early for. Read on to see why he's all over AJ Dillon.
ANALYSIS

Packers vs Giants NFL London Prediction, Player Prop Pick: Can AJ Dillon Run Over the Giants?

Packers vs. Giants Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: October 9, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:30 am ET
  • Where to Watch: NFL Network

Packers vs. Giants Odds

Click Here for Packers vs. Giants Odds

Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants Player Prop Pick

1u - AJ Dillon o12.5 Rush Attempts (-130) (Bet $130 to win $100)

*Odds available at BetMGM at time of publishing*

This game is a London game so we need those alarms set. This feels like the game the Giants show they’re not as good as the 3-1 record they hold. They face a Green Bay team who is also 3-1 but come into this game as eight-point favorites. I expect Green Bay to grab a lead and not look back and integrate runs throughout all four quarters. The backfield is split between Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon but it is encouraging to see that Dillon has 57 attempts compared to Jones' 48.

Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants Prediction

In games where Green Bay wins by a touchdown or more, we have seen Dillon his this prop in six straight games dating back to last year. This season he has run for 10+ in every game and with how the game script should go I think 13 is very much so in play. The Giants allow the 8th most rush attempts to running backs and allowed a runner to hit this against them in all four games this season.

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Dillon seems to have the slight edge as the lead rusher over Jones and Jones holds the responsibilities of more receiving work. This number I think is off by a rush and should be 13.5. I have Dillon at 14 rush attempts personally and love that he doesn’t even have to run effectively. We don’t need big gains, we just need volume. Let's tail this one quick and give us something to look forward to while eating breakfast, let's roll!

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Article Author

NFLNBAMLB

Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.

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