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Tua Tagovailoa Dolphins Roll Out

NFL Passing Props: Targeting Tua Tagovailoa on the Week 1 QB Cheat Sheet

It's Week 1 of the NFL, and it couldn't be a more exciting day! Jason Radowitz shares his NFL Passing Props in his Week 1 QB Cheat Sheet. This week he's targeting Tua Tagovailoa and more QBs.

Jason Radowitz - September 10, 2023, 9:35 AM EDT

5 min

NFL Passing Props: Targeting Tua Tagovailoa on the Week 1 QB Cheat Sheet

Who is ready for Week 1 of the NFL season?

I know I am!

I've added three-player props for quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers. In this article, I'll be touching on quarterbacks.

For fantasy football help, it's okay to look at different lines at sportsbooks to determine which player you should start on your fantasy team. Sportsbooks are typically sharp. Use that information to your advantage!

Also, check my other articles for the other positions, including running backs and wide receivers.

Most importantly, enjoy the day!

NFL QB Cheat Sheet Week 1

Tua Tagovailoa Over 20.5 Completions (-127) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick

Tua Tagovailoa needs to stay healthy. That's half of the battle.

Tagovailoa was hurt against the Cincinnati Bengals on September 29, last season. The Dolphins lost their next two games. But when Tagovailoa returned, the Dolphins won five straight games and scored at least 30 points in four of the five games.

In those five games, he added at least 21 completions every time.

Against the Chargers, the Dolphins will likely have to engage in a shootout. That plays out well for Tagovailoa.

Bryce Young Over .5 Interceptions (-142) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick

The past eight No. 1 overall picks have combined for a QBR of 33 and have finished with a 0-7-1 record in Week 1.

That list includes Trevor Lawrence, Joe Burrow, Kyler Murray, Jameis Winston, Andrew Luck, Cam Newton, Sam Bradford, and Matthew Stafford.

I know he wasn't drafted first overall, but Kenny Pickett didn't begin Week 1 as a starter. He threw an interception on his first-ever pass last year when he got his chance. Brett Favre did the same. So did Sam Darnold.

It's just a part of the growing pains. Take Carolina's Bryce Young to throw an interception today.

Kenny Pickett Over 224.5 Passing Yards (+114) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick

We're likely in for a defensive showdown between the Steelers and the 49ers. But Pittsburgh will have more confidence in Pickett heading into his second year.

Pickett completed nearly 63% of passes last season and dropped back at least 27 times in ten of the 13 games. He threw one pass in one of those games and came out with an injury.

So, he essentially attempted 27 passes in ten of 12 games played last season.

He's got Diontae Johnson, George Pickens, Allen Robinson II, Calvin Austin II, and Pat Freiermuth catching passes for him. Any of those guys have the potential to break out for big plays down the field.

Give me Pickett to earn at least 225 passing yards at plus money.

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