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The New Orleans Saints have a golden opportunity to take a division lead at home on Thursday Night Football when they host the Jacksonville Jaguars. Can Derek Carr finally have his breakout game and shine for the crowd in New Orleans? Krabs answers with his Jaguars vs. Saints betting pick.
ANALYSIS

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New Orleans Saints Betting Pick: Can Derek Carr, Saints Shine on TNF?

Don’t let the Jags get hot! It might be too late; Jacksonville is currently on a three game win and ATS streak. Tonight they’ll travel to New Orleans to face the struggling Saints. Which team will come out victorious on Thursday Night Football?

Jaguars vs. Saints Date, Time, and Where to Watch

  • Date: October 19, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:15 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: Prime Video

Jaguars vs. Saints Odds

  • Spread: Jaguars +2 (-110), Saints -2 (-110)
  • Total Odds: O/U 40 (-110)
  • Moneyline Odds: Jaguars (+105), Saints (-125)

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New Orleans Saints Prediction

You’re telling me the Jags are coming off three straight wins, including an impressive 25-20 win against the Bills, and are underdogs tonight against the Saints? Something seems fishy here, as the Jags almost seem like too easy of a side to take tonight. Let me tell you why the Saints are the right play in this contest…

Trevor Lawrence is probably going to play tonight. He is a game time decision, but it is expected that he will give it a go during warmups. Either way, Lawrence won’t be at full strength tonight. That is going to be a problem for Jacksonville, who will be facing the fifth-ranked defense in football tonight.

To be fair, the Saints have had a relatively easy schedule up to this point. Their defense has showed up though, and against a banged-up Lawrence, they should have an edge tonight. The Saints have also dominated this series for the better part of the last decade. New Orleans has won the last four meetings against Jacksonville dating back to 2015.

Derek Carr has yet to shine on his new team, but tonight could be his breakout game. The Jags have the 21st-ranked defense in football, presenting a great opportunity for Carr to shine in front of his new home crowd. The Jags pass defense is atrocious. They give up the second-most yards per game, and they’ve played two rookie QBs, a backup QB and Desmond Ridder this season. If Derek Carr can’t slice and dice this defense, maybe he isn’t the guy for the Saints.

The Saints opened up a small favorite before the sharps steamed them up to -2 on most books. Ride with the sharps and back the Saints to win their second game in five weeks. This will be Derek Carr’s breakout game.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New Orleans Saints Pick

Saints -2 -110  is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

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Krabs is a contrarian bettor who isn’t afraid to fade the public or go against the grain. His betting style not only produces winners but has changed the way many think about the sports betting process. You’ll find Krabs betting on anything from the NFL (at a 60% clip in 2022) to the KBO (8-1-1 in 2022). You won’t find many handicappers with more college basketball knowledge or insight than Krabs. A native of the “DMV,” you can find his work @Krabs_Bets on Twitter, or on Behind the Lines, his daily sports betting show on twitch.

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