Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins Same Game Parlay: Can Josh Allen, Tyreek Hill Deliver on TNF?
Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins Same Game Parlay: Can Josh Allen, Tyreek Hill Deliver on TNF?
The Buffalo Bills travel to play the Miami Dolphins for Thursday Night Football in what should be a great divisional matchup between these teams. Both teams got a win in Week 1 are expected to contend for the AFC East division. I have put together a parlay for this game using one of the boosts over on FanDuel. It consists of three legs, Josh Allen TD passes, Tyreek Hill receptions, and Khalil Shakir receptions. I am going to break down why I like each of these legs below.
Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins Date, Time and Where to Watch
- Date: September 12, 2024
- Time: 8:15 pm ET
- Where to Watch: Amazon Prime
Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins Same Game Parlay
Josh Allen has been extremely consistent in hitting 2+ passing TDs throughout his career, especially against the Miami Dolphins. In 13 career games against Miami, Josh Allen has gone for 2+passing TDs in all 13 of them. The Dolphins had a great run defense last year, allowing the 5th fewest rushing yards to opposing Running Backs. They allowed the 7th Most Passing TDs however, which is great for this prop. The total is high for a primetime game, sitting at 49 points which gives me more confidence in this leg. I am expecting most of the Bills' success tonight to come through the air, and expect Josh Allen to continue his passing dominance against the Dolphins.
The next leg of the parlay is Tyreek Hill to get us six or more receptions. He has cleared this number in 11 of his last 14 games. At home, he has gone for 6+ receptions in eight of the last nine games averaging 7.55 receptions per game. In his last four games against the Bills, he has 7+ receptions in three of four, going for 13+ targets in all three of them. He should continue to be peppered with targets again tonight. Per PFF, Miami also has an 11% Pass Block advantage in this game which I like to see. I think we see another solid game from Hill tonight in an important divisional matchup.
To round out the parlay, we are adding Khalil Shakir for three or more receptions. Dating back to last season, Shakir has gone for three or more receptions in 10 of the last 12 games with a 50% snap percentage, averaging 3.7 per game. Last game against the Dolphins, we saw Shakir have a ton of success, going for six catches and 105 yards. I am expecting him to have more success tonight, and love his matchup again here against Kader Kohou. Kohou had a 33.1 coverage grade in Week 1 per PFF which is well below average. I think we see Shakir take advantage in this matchup and expect Allen to look his way a good bit.
Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins Same Game Parlay (+395) (Bet $25 to Collect $124)
- Josh Allen 2+ Passing Touchdowns
- Tyreek Hill 6+ Receptions
- Khalil Shakir 3+ Receptions