Top Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks for Falcons vs. Packers on Thursday Night Football - September 24th
The Atlanta Falcons visit the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on Thursday Night Football, putting two offenses with very different early-season scoring profiles under the primetime lights. Can Bijan Robinson, Christian Watson and Tucker Kraft turn their high-value offensive roles into trips to the end zone? Check out these Falcons vs. Packers 3 anytime touchdown scorer picks for Thursday, September 24.
Peter Alexis - September 24, 2026, 6:35 PM EDT
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Thursday night's card offers a mix of one high-probability favorite and two plus-money Green Bay options. Bijan Robinson has yet to score through Atlanta's first two games, while Christian Watson has already found the end zone in both of Green Bay's first two contests and enters with one of the strongest recent scoring trends on the board.
The prices also create three very different ways to attack the market. Robinson carries the highest projected scoring probability by a wide margin, Watson combines current form with plus-money odds, and Tucker Kraft offers a bigger payout at a position that can become especially valuable when Green Bay reaches the red zone.
Falcons vs. Packers Date, Time, Where to Watch
- Date: Thursday, September 24th, 2026
- Time: 8:15 PM ET
- Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
- How to Watch: Prime Video
Falcons vs. Packers Odds
- Spread: Atlanta Falcons +5.5, Green Bay Packers -5.5
- Total Points: Over 43.5, Under 43.5
- Moneyline: Atlanta Falcons +200, Green Bay Packers -245
Click here for the latest Falcons vs. Packers Odds
Falcons vs. Packers Best Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks
1. Bijan Robinson Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-135) Check out the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Robinson has not scored in either of Atlanta's first two games, but that drought is part of what makes this an interesting bounce-back spot. Few players in the Falcons offense have as many potential touchdown paths, with Robinson capable of finishing drives as a runner, catching passes out of the backfield or turning an ordinary touch into an explosive play.
The broader trend remains strong despite the slow start. Robinson has scored in six of his last 10 games, and the model gives him an enormous 80.23% probability of finding the end zone Thursday compared to a 57.45% implied probability at -135. That creates 39.66% EV despite being the only favorite on the card.
This is not a bet that requires Atlanta to have an explosive offensive night. Robinson is the type of player who can account for a huge percentage of his team's scoring opportunities even when possessions are limited. If the Falcons finally generate sustained red-zone chances, he remains the most natural candidate to finish one.
2. Christian Watson Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+150) Check out the best odds at Bet365 Sportsbook
Watson brings the strongest current scoring form of the three selections. He has found the end zone in seven of his last 10 games and has scored in each of Green Bay's first two games this season, giving him a 70% hit rate across the larger sample.
His profile is particularly attractive for touchdown betting because he does not need massive reception volume to cash. Watson's size and vertical ability allow him to score on deep shots while also making him dangerous in tighter spaces near the goal line. That creates multiple touchdown paths for a player still available at plus money.
The model puts Watson's scoring probability at 49.44%, essentially a coin flip, compared to a 40% implied probability at +150. That produces 23.6% EV. For a receiver already carrying a two-game scoring streak into Thursday night, getting +150 provides a strong combination of current form, explosiveness and payout.
3. Tucker Kraft Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+210) Check out the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Kraft is the longer-priced Green Bay option at +210. He has not scored in either of the Packers' first two games, but his recent history remains productive with touchdowns in five of his last 10 appearances.
The case for Kraft is less dependent on overall receiving volume than Watson's. Tight ends can see their scoring value increase dramatically once the field compresses, and Kraft's size gives Green Bay another option over the middle, off play action and around the goal line. He can produce a relatively quiet box score and still cash this wager with one high-leverage target.
The model gives Kraft a 38.8% chance to score against a 32.26% implied probability, creating 20.28% EV at +210. After opening the season without a touchdown, the market is offering better than 2-to-1 on a player who has still scored in half of his last 10 games, making Kraft the preferred longer-shot sprinkle of the three.
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