4 Best Bets for Rams vs. Broncos on Sunday Night Football
The Los Angeles Rams visit the Denver Broncos on Sunday Night Football in a Week 3 matchup between two 1-1 teams at Empower Field at Mile High. Can Matthew Stafford, Kyren Williams and Terrance Ferguson keep the Rams offense moving against a difficult Denver defense? Check out these Rams vs. Broncos 5 best bets for Sunday, September 27.
Peter Alexis - September 27, 2026, 6:45 PM EDT
5 Minute ReadRams vs. Broncos Best Bets: Targeting Terrance Ferguson, Matthew Stafford on Sunday Night Football?
Los Angeles responded to its ugly season-opening loss in Australia with a 28-6 win over the Giants, powered by 327 passing yards and four touchdowns from Stafford. Denver also bounced back in Week 2, erasing a double-digit deficit to beat Jacksonville 20-13 and return home with a chance to move above .500.
The betting card leans heavily toward Los Angeles while also accounting for the possibility of a lower-scoring game against Denver's defense. Puka Nacua is doubtful after missing Week 2, which again creates additional opportunities for Ferguson and other secondary Rams pass catchers.
Rams vs. Broncos Date, Time, Where to Watch
- Date: Sunday, September 27th, 2026
- Time: 8:20 PM ET
- Location: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, Colorado
- How to Watch: NBC
Rams vs. Broncos Odds
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Rams vs. Broncos Best Bets Breakdown
1. Los Angeles Rams Moneyline (-130) Check out these best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
The Rams hold a significant edge at the quarterback position, where Matthew Stafford is averaging a high 8.6 yards per attempt compared to just 7.1 for Denver's Bo Nix. Defensively, Los Angeles has been more disciplined, allowing only 16.5 points per game through two contests, while Denver has surrendered 22.0. Stafford’s efficiency is further supported by a minimal 1.75% sack rate, suggesting he will have the time to exploit the Broncos secondary.
For the Rams to secure this road win, they must continue to provide superior pass protection against a Denver front seven that has individual playmakers like Zach Allen, who has already logged 2.0 sacks. The statistical gap in passing efficiency and points allowed makes the road moneyline at 1.77 a strong value play. We are accepting the risk that playing in Denver could create turnover exposure against a defensive front capable of disruption.
2. Terrance Ferguson Over 50.5 Receiving Yards (-111) Check out these best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
Terrance Ferguson serves as the TE2 for the Rams behind Colby Parkinson, making his line of 50.5 receiving yards appear overly optimistic. AI projections estimate Ferguson will finish significantly lower at 39.0 receiving yards, as the Rams' offensive volume is highly concentrated among primary weapons Puka Nacua and Davante Adams. Through two games, Nacua is projected for 91.7 receiving yards while Adams is expected to log 67.5, leaving very few high-impact targets for the secondary tight end.
While Los Angeles averages a healthy 247.5 passing yards per game, Ferguson has a limited receiving ceiling in this hierarchy. This bet relies on the established workload split continuing, with the TE1 and perimeter receivers commanding the majority of the air yards. The main risk is Ferguson seeing increased targets if Denver’s secondary successfully brackets both Nacua and Adams, forcing Stafford to utilize his depth options more frequently.
3. Under 44.5 Total Points (-102) Check out these best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
The total of 44.5 offers value on the Under given the offensive struggles in Denver and the defensive efficiency of Los Angeles. The Broncos offense has managed only 15.0 points per game through the first two weeks, netting just 568 total offensive yards. Meanwhile, the Rams defense has proven disciplined, conceding an average of only 16.5 points per contest. For this Under to hit, both units need to maintain their season trends, specifically with Denver continuing its pass-heavy split (71.7%) that has yet to produce high-scoring results.
AI models project a game total of 43.3 points, suggesting the market has slightly overvalued the scoring potential in this matchup. We are accepting the risk that Matthew Stafford’s explosive passing talent—highlighted by 8.6 yards per attempt and a 327-yard performance in his last outing—could trigger early explosive plays and push the final score over the benchmark.
4. Matthew Stafford Over 239.5 Passing Yards (-114) Check out these best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
Matthew Stafford is well-positioned to clear the 239.5 passing yards line, backed by a projection of 259.8 yards on 34.7 attempts. Stafford has already accumulated 482 passing yards through two games, averaging 241.0 per contest, despite a quiet opening week. He benefits from exceptional pass protection that has yielded just one sack across 56 attempts this season, giving him the time required to find elite targets Puka Nacua and Davante Adams.
With Denver's defense allowing 22.0 points per game, Stafford should find enough production through the air to hit the Over. We assume Stafford maintains his current 66.1% completion rate and heavy target reliance on his primary perimeter weapons. The primary risk is a positive game script where a significant early lead forces the Rams to pivot toward ground control in the second half, potentially limiting Stafford's fourth-quarter passing volume.
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