Best Betting Trends for NFL Week 3: Targeting Hunter Henry, Chase Brown Props on Sunday Afternoon
Sunday's NFL Week 3 slate features several player props backed by strong recent trends, including markets in Patriots vs. Jaguars and Bengals vs. Steelers. Can Bhayshul Tuten, Jakobi Meyers, DK Metcalf and other key players continue the patterns established over their recent games? Check out these top 5 betting trends for NFL Week 3 on Sunday, September 27.
Peter Alexis - September 27, 2026, 12:25 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadWhich Top NFL Trends Should You Tail in Sunday's Week 3 Slate?
The Week 3 Sunday slate offers several player-prop angles where recent results have consistently landed on the same side of the current number. Three of the five selections have hit in eight of the last 10 games, while Hunter Henry enters with a perfect five-game trend on his receiving-yardage Under.
The projections generally sit close to the listed lines, which makes the historical trends particularly useful for identifying potential value. Jakobi Meyers and Chase Brown also have AI projections supporting their Overs, while the two strongest Under trends have remained profitable across larger 10-game samples.
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1. Bhayshul Tuten Under 9.5 Receiving Yards (+105) Check out the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
- AI Projection: 10.4 Receiving Yards
- Last 5: Under in 60%
- Trend Hit: Under in 8 of last 10 games
Tuten has failed to exceed 9.5 receiving yards in eight of his last 10 games, and that consistency extends beyond the short sample with the Under hitting in 78% of his last 20. Getting +105 on a trend that has landed 80% of the time recently immediately makes the market interesting.
The AI projection of 10.4 yards does sit slightly above the current line, so the model and trend are not completely aligned. The difference is less than one yard, however, leaving this primarily as a recent-usage play backed by a strong 10-game and 20-game history.
2. Hunter Henry Under 41.5 Receiving Yards (-111) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
- AI Projection: 41.3 Receiving Yards
- Last 5: Under in 100%
- Trend Hit: Under in 7 of last 10 games
Henry brings the strongest short-term trend of the five selections, staying below 41.5 receiving yards in each of his last five games. The Under has also cashed in seven of his last 10 and 60% of his last 20, so the recent run is supported by a larger sample.
The AI projection lands almost directly on the sportsbook number at 41.3 yards. With only 0.2 yards separating the projection from the line, the strongest argument comes from Henry repeatedly finishing below this threshold rather than a significant projection advantage.
3. Jakobi Meyers Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (-113) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
- AI Projection: 36.8 Receiving Yards
- Last 5: Over in 60%
- Trend Hit: Over in 8 of last 10 games
Meyers has exceeded 34.5 receiving yards in eight of his last 10 games, and this is one of the rare selections where the longer trend is nearly as strong. He has also cleared the mark in 75% of his last 20, making 34.5 a threshold he has consistently beaten across a substantial stretch.
The projection provides additional support rather than fighting the trend. Meyers is projected for 36.8 receiving yards, giving him a modest cushion above the number, while the combination of an 80% recent hit rate and 75% 20-game rate makes this one of the more consistent Overs on the board.
4. DK Metcalf Under 52.5 Receiving Yards (-110) Check out the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
- AI Projection: 50.4 Receiving Yards
- Last 5: Under in 80%
- Trend Hit: Under in 8 of last 10 games
Metcalf has stayed below 52.5 receiving yards in eight of his last 10 games, including four of the last five. The Under has also cashed in 65% of his last 20, giving the trend support beyond one isolated stretch of reduced production.
Unlike several trend plays where the projection creates some conflict, the AI agrees with this side. Metcalf is projected for 50.4 yards, just underneath the 52.5 threshold, creating a combination of model support and an 80% recent Under rate.
5. Chase Brown Over 63.5 Rushing Yards (-110) Check out the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
- AI Projection: 68.6 Rushing Yards
- Last 5: Over in 80%
- Trend Hit: Over in 7 of last 10 games
Brown has surpassed 63.5 rushing yards in seven of his last 10 games and four of his last five, giving the Over considerably stronger short-term support than the 50% rate across his last 20. The recent trend suggests his rushing production has become more dependable than the larger sample indicates.
The AI projection strengthens that case by putting Brown at 68.6 yards, more than five yards above Sunday's line. The 70% 10-game hit rate, 80% mark over the last five and favorable projection give this pick multiple supporting indicators rather than relying on the trend alone.
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