2025 PGA Championship Picks: Top-5 and Top-10 Finish Bets for Quail Hollow
Justin Thomas has had a big year, winning his first tournament in a while last month. Can he finish in the Top 10 at Quail Hollow? How about Bryson in the Top 5? Matt MacKay has you covered on his best finisher bets for the 2025 PGA Championship.
Matt MacKay
| 5 min
2025 PGA Championship Picks: Top-5 and Top-10 Finish Bets for Quail Hollow
The PGA Tour heads to Charlotte, North Carolina for the 2025 PGA Championship this week. It's the second major of the season, held at Quail Hollow Club. Last week's Truist Championship was moved to Philadelphia as Quail Hollow was prepped to host this major event.
Quail Hollow Club is a lengthy track, running over 7,600 yards and playing as a par 71. Water hazards and tree-lined fairways create difficult conditions, especially with greens measuring fast at 12 to 12.5 feet via Stimpmeter.
Rory McIlroy has owned this course, while Xander Schauffele is coming off of a 2024 PGA Championship win at Valhalla. Scottie Scheffler, unsurprisingly, is the betting favorite at +450 odds, following his historic 31-under-par victory at the CJ CUP Byron Nelson a couple weeks ago.
Other notable favorites include Bryson DeChambeau (+1000), Xander Schauffele (+2000), Jon Rahm (+2000), Collin Morikawa (+2200), Justin Thomas (+2200) and Ludvig Aberg at +2500 odds. Thomas won the last PGA Championship held at Quail Hollow Club in 2017.
PGA handicapper Matt MacKay is here with a few golfers to bet in the Top 5 and Top 10 Finishing Position markets ahead of Round 1 at the 2025 PGA Championship. Follow Matt's X account for more PGA betting analysis and free picks during the 2025 PGA Tour season.
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2025 PGA CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS
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2025 CHAMPIONSHIP DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH
- Date: Thursday, May 15 - Sunday, May 18, 2025
- Time: 7:00 AM - 8:00 PM ET
- How to Watch: ESPN+, ESPN, Paramount+, CBS
PGA Championship Finisher Picks: Top 5
Rory McIlroy To Finish in Top 5 (+120) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best PGA Championship odds
Rory McIlroy is enjoying an incredibly successful year so far on the PGA Tour. He just won The Masters in a playoff against Justin Rose to complete his career Grand Slam at majors, marking his third outright win in 2025.
McIlroy has three wins at Quail Hollow Club, including his first PGA Tour win that came back in 2010. His most recent victory here came at the 2021 Wells Fargo Championship. Ranked second in total strokes gained, including first SG: Off-the-Tee and sixth SG: Putting, McIlroy is the betting favorite, alongside Scottie Scheffler, to record a Top 5 finish at +120 odds.
McIlroy will look to keep his momentum rolling at a course that he's dominated throughout his PGA Tour career. Let's bet a unit on McIlroy to record his fifth top 5 finish in 2025 at +120 odds.
Bryson DeChambeau To Finish in Top 5 (+280) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best PGA Championship odds
When it comes to distance off-the-tee, Bryson DeChambeau is always reliable. DeChambeau logged a runner-up finish during Xander Schauffele's first major win at the 2024 PGA Championship at Valhalla. Now, he'll look to avenge his fourth round collapse at The Masters.
DeChambeau recorded a solo fourth-place finish at Quail Hollow at the 2018 Wells Fargo Championship. Last appearance at this course yielded a solo ninth-place finish at the 2021 Wells Fargo Championship.
At +280 odds, DeChambeau's an elite power hitter who has the ability to get hot with his putter. Greens in regulation were an issue at Augusta National during The Masters. However, DeChambeau's a gifted scrambler who is worth betting on for a top 5 finish at +280 odds.
PGA Championship Finisher Picks: Top 10
Justin Thomas To Finish in Top 10 (+210) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best PGA Championship odds
Justin Thomas has played Quail Hollow Club over half a dozen times during his PGA Tour career. He won the 2017 PGA Championship at this course, while also helping win the Presidents Cup here in 2023.
Thomas is seeking his fourth top five finish at the PGA Championship this week. He's coming off of a runner-up finish at Wissahickon Course during the Truist Championship in Philadelphia on Sunday.
Ranked third in total strokes gained metrics, including fifth SG: Approach, 20th SG: Putting and 25th proximity. First in putting average, fifth in scoring average and second in birdie average.
Let's bet a full unit on Thomas to record a Top 10 finish for the third consecutive event. He's red hot on the links and returns to a course where he's comfortable playing, dating back to his 2017 PGA Championship win at Quail Hollow.
Corey Conners To Finish in Top 10 (+500) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best PGA Championship odds
Corey Conners is one of the most consistent ball-strikers on the PGA Tour right now. The Canadian has two top 20 finishes at the PGA Championship, while coming off of a T26 finish at Valhalla in 2024.
Conners has logged an eighth-place finish and 13th-place finish in each of the last two Wells Fargo Championship events held at Quail Hollow in 2023 and 2024. He's coming off of a T11 at the Truist Championship, while logging four top 10 finishes in a five-event stretch from mid-March through mid-April at The Masters.
Ranked 17th SG: Off-the-Tee, including 17th in driving accuracy, which will be important to avoid errant lies in rough and behind trees at Quail Hollow. 25th in proximity, 10th at finding greens in regulation and 14th on par 4s.
Let's wrap up with one more unit on Conners to record a Top 10 finish at 5-1 odds this week.
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