Jets vs. Blues Best Bet: Josh Morrissey is the Top Sleeper Value Pick for December 17th
The Winnipeg Jets will visit the St. Louis Blues on December 17th, with the Wolf identifying an underrated edge in this Wednesday night clash. Will Josh Morrissey fail to contribute on offense? Let's take a look at the Wolf's NHL sleeper value pick for Jets vs. Blues.
The Wolf - December 17, 2025, 10:00 AM EST
4 Minute ReadWednesday NHL Diamond in the Rough Prop Pick: Will Josh Morrissey Struggle Against Blues Tonight?
Wednesday night hockey in St. Louis gives us a sneaky spot to hunt value away from the flashy goal scorers and household names. When the market focuses on overall team strength, it often overlooks how specific roles fluctuate game to game, especially on the blue line. That is exactly where the Wolf finds his edge in this Central Division matchup.
Josh Morrissey is one of Winnipeg’s most trusted defensemen, but assist props can swing wildly based on game flow, special teams opportunities, and opponent style. Against a Blues team that prefers to slow things down at home, this sets up as a quietly strong fade spot.
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Jets vs. Blues Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Wednesday, December 17, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- How to Watch: ESPN+
Jets vs. Blues Odds
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The Wolf's Diamond in the Rough Prop Pick: Wednesday, December 3rd
Mikhail Sergachev (Mammoth) Recent Trends
Morrissey has gone under 0.5 assists in 6 of his last 10 games, showing that his production has been more volatile than his reputation suggests. Even when logging heavy minutes, he has not consistently found the scoresheet as a playmaker at even strength.
St. Louis tends to limit clean zone entries and power play opportunities at home, which further suppresses assist chances for opposing defensemen.
Oddschecker+ Positive EV Tool Advantage
- AI Probability: 65.84%
- Expected Value: +13.24%
This is a classic Diamond in the Rough profile. The AI projects this under to hit far more often than the odds imply, creating solid long-term value despite the juice.
The Wolf's AI Analysis
Assist props on defensemen often carry name value tax, and Morrissey fits that mold perfectly. He can dominate ice time without necessarily piling up helpers, especially in tighter road matchups. If the Jets lean on a more direct scoring approach or fail to convert on the power play, this under cashes quietly and efficiently.
This is not flashy. It is profitable.
Jets vs. Blues Prop Pick
- Pick: Josh Morrissey Under 0.5 Assists (-140) Check out these best odds on BetMGM Sportsbook
NHL ODDS
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